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The Bayesian smoothing equations are generally intractable for systems described by nonlinear stochastic differential equations and discrete-time measurements. Gaussian approximations are a computationally efficient way to approximate the…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-04-05 Juha Ala-Luhtala , Simo Särkkä , Robert Piché

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

The sub-Gaussian stable distribution is a heavy-tailed elliptically contoured law which has interesting applications in signal processing and financial mathematics. This work addresses the problem of feasible estimation of distributions. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-04 Taras Bodnar , Dmitry Otryakhin , Erik Thorsen

Expectation Propagation is a very popular algorithm for variational inference, but comes with few theoretical guarantees. In this article, we prove that the approximation errors made by EP can be bounded. Our bounds have an asymptotic…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-01-12 Guillaume P Dehaene , Simon Barthelmé

Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Seo Taek Kong , R. Srikant

It is shown that if the Euclidean path integral measure of a minimally coupled free quantum scalar field on a classical metric background is interpreted as probability of observing the field configuration given the background metric then…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-02-22 Can Gokler

Euler integrals of deterministic functions have recently been shown to have a wide variety of possible applications, including in signal processing, data aggregation and network sensing. Adding random noise to these scenarios, as is natural…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-30 Gregory Naitzat , Robert J. Adler

This paper develops a new direct approach to approximating suprema of general empirical processes by a sequence of suprema of Gaussian processes, without taking the route of approximating whole empirical processes in the sup-norm. We prove…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-19 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

Practical diffusion sampling is a numerical approximation problem: under a fixed inference budget, one must simulate a reverse-time ODE or SDE using only a limited number of denoising steps, so discretization error is often the dominant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Samuel Hurault , Thomas Moreau , Gabriel Peyré

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

The stochastic partial differential equation approach to Gaussian processes (GPs) represents Mat\'ern GP priors in terms of $n$ finite element basis functions and Gaussian coefficients with sparse precision matrix. Such representations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Let $Z_1,\ldots,Z_n$ be i.i.d. isotropic random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^p$, and $T \subset \mathbb{R}^p$ be a compact set. A classical line of empirical process theory characterizes the size of the suprema of the quadratic process…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-23 Qiyang Han

We consider a general linear parabolic problem with extended time boundary conditions (including initial value problems and periodic ones), and approximate it by the implicit Euler scheme in time and the Gradient Discretisation method in…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-08-22 J Droniou , R Eymard , T Gallouët , C Guichard , R Herbin

In this paper, we are interested in the time discrete approximation of Ef(X(T)) when X is the solution of a stochastic differential equation with a diffusion coefficient function of the form |x|^a. We propose a symmetrized version of the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-20 Mireille Bossy , Awa Diop

We build and study a recursive algorithm based on the occupation measure of an Euler scheme with decreasing step for the numerical approximation of the quasistationary distribution (QSD) of an elliptic diffusion in a bounded domain. We…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-17 Fabien Panloup , Julien Reygner

We obtain non asymptotic concentration bounds for two kinds of stochastic approximations. We first consider the deviations between the expectation of a given function of the Euler scheme of some diffusion process at a fixed deterministic…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-12 Noufel Frikha , Stephane Menozzi

High-precision measurements require optimal setups and analysis tools to achieve continuous improvements. Systematic corrections need to be modeled with high accuracy and known uncertainty to reconstruct underlying physical phenomena. To…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-05-31 Max Lamparth , Mattis Bestehorn , Bastian Märkisch

We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for the partial sum of squares of general Gaussian sequences, using tools from analysis on Wiener space. No assumption of stationarity, asymptotically or otherwise, is made. The main…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-09 Soukaina Douissi , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

It is common to model a deterministic response function, such as the output of a computer experiment, as a Gaussian process with a Mat\'ern covariance kernel. The smoothness parameter of a Mat\'ern kernel determines many important…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-28 Toni Karvonen