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The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We introduce a class of paired binary matrices called admixed arrays, which arise in analyses of large-scale genetic data and can be viewed as weighted edge colorings of complete bipartite graphs. This combinatorial structure gives rise to…

组合数学 · 数学 2026-04-13 Alan J. Aw

The problem of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables with stretched-exponential tails exhibits a dynamical phase transition and has recently reemerged in the context of active transport and condensation phenomena. We…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-11 Alberto Bassanoni , Omer Hamdi

Extreme events and the heavy tail distributions driven by them are ubiquitous in various scientific, engineering and financial research. They are typically associated with stochastic instability caused by hidden unresolved processes.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-22 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

Renewal processes with heavy-tailed power law distributed sojourn times are commonly encountered in physical modelling and so typical fluctuations of observables of interest have been investigated in detail. To describe rare events the rate…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-10-26 Wanli Wang , Johannes H. P. Schulz , Weihua Deng , Eli Barkai

We study the consistency and weak convergence of the conditional tail function and conditional Hill estimators under broad dependence assumptions for a heavy-tailed response sequence and a covariate sequence. Consistency is established…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-04 Martin Bladt , Laurits Glargaard , Theodor Henningsen

Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby

We use the framework of multivariate regular variation to analyse the extremal behaviour of preferential attachment models. To this end, we follow a directed linear preferential attachment model for a random, heavy-tailed number of steps in…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-06 Anja Janßen , Max Ziegenbalg

Employing the framework of regular variation, we propose two decompositions which help to summarize and describel high-dimensional tail dependence. Via transformation, we define a vector space on the positive orthant, yielding the notion of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-27 Daniel Cooley , Emeric Thibaud

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. For the subcritical regime a kind of phase transition…

Understanding the shape of a distribution of data is of interest to people in a great variety of fields, as it may affect the types of algorithms used for that data. We study one such problem in the framework of distribution property…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Amartya Shankha Biswas , Kavya Ravichandran , Ronitt Rubinfeld

A canonical formalism and constraint analysis for discrete systems subject to a variational action principle are devised. The formalism is equivalent to the covariant formulation, encompasses global and local discrete time evolution moves…

数学物理 · 物理学 2013-09-17 Bianca Dittrich , Philipp A Hoehn

In this paper, according to a certain criterion, we divide the exponential distribution class into three subclasses. One of them is closely related to the regular-variation-tailed distribution class, so it is called the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-30 Zhaolei Cui , Edward Omey , Wenyuan Wang , Yuebao Wang

The paper focuses on a class of light-tailed multivariate probability distributions. These are obtained via a transformation of the margins from a heavy-tailed original distribution. This class was introduced in Balkema et al. (J.…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Guus Balkema , Paul Embrechts , Natalia Nolde

Strong anomalous diffusion is {often} characterized by a piecewise-linear spectrum of the moments of displacement. The spectrum is characterized by slopes $\xi$ and $\zeta$ for small and large moments, respectively, and by the critical…

We consider strictly stationary heavy tailed time series whose finite-dimensional exponent measures are concentrated on axes, and hence their extremal properties cannot be tackled using classical multivariate regular variation that is…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-10 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

A Markov tree is a random vector indexed by the nodes of a tree whose distribution is determined by the distributions of pairs of neighbouring variables and a list of conditional independence relations. Upon an assumption on the tails of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-05 Johan Segers

We develop a unified theory to analyze the microcanonical ensembles with several constraints given by unbounded observables. Several interesting phenomena that do not occur in the single constraint case can happen under the multiple…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-24 Kyeongsik Nam

Taylor's law, also known as fluctuation scaling in physics and the power-law variance function in statistics, is an empirical pattern widely observed across fields including ecology, physics, finance, and epidemiology. It states that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-13 Pok Him Cheng , Joel E. Cohen , Hok Kan Ling , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam