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It is well known that the distribution of extreme values of strictly stationary sequences differ from those of independent and identically distributed sequences in that extremal clustering may occur. Here we consider non-stationary but…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-23 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

We prove large and moderate deviation principles for the distribution of an empirical mean conditioned by the value of the sum of discrete i.i.d. random variables. Some applications for combinatoric problems are discussed.

概率论 · 数学 2007-07-11 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Clémentine Prieur

The tetrad constraint is widely used to test whether four observed variables are conditionally independent given a latent variable, based on the fact that if four observed variables following a linear model are mutually independent after…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Naiwen Ying , Ping Zhang , Shanshan Luo , Wang Miao

Clustered observations are ubiquitous in controlled and observational studies and arise naturally in multi-centre trials or longitudinal surveys. We present a novel model for the analysis of clustered observations where the marginal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-03 Luisa Barbanti , Torsten Hothorn

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

Codifference is a commonly used measure of dependence for stable vectors and processes for which covariance is infinite. However, we argue that it can also be used for other heavy-tail distributions and it provides useful information for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-17 Jakub Ślęzak

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel

Tail dependence plays an essential role in the characterization of joint extreme events in multivariate data. However, most standard tail dependence parameters assume continuous margins. This note presents a form of tail dependence suitable…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Victory Idowu

We tackle the modeling of threshold exceedances in asymptotically independent stochastic processes by constructions based on Laplace random fields. These are defined as Gaussian random fields scaled with a stochastic variable following an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-09 Thomas Opitz

The problem of estimating the coefficient of bivariate tail dependence is considered here from the robustness point of view; it combines two apparently contradictory theories of robust statistics and extreme value statistics. The usual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-07-08 Abhik Ghosh

General Central limit theorem deals with weak limits (in type) of sums of row-elements of array random variables. In some situations as in the invariance principle problem, the sums may include only parts of the row-elements. For strictly…

Testing independence is of significant interest in many important areas of large-scale inference. Using extreme-value form statistics to test against sparse alternatives and using quadratic form statistics to test against dense alternatives…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-31 Danning Li , Lingzhou Xue

This paper explores a conditional Gibbs theorem for a random walkinduced by i.i.d. (X_{1},..,X_{n}) conditioned on an extreme deviation of its sum (S_{1}^{n}=na_{n}) or (S_{1}^{n}>na_{n}) where a_{n}\rightarrow\infty. It is proved that when…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-04 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

Regression models describing the joint distribution of multivariate response variables conditional on covariate information have become an important aspect of contemporary regression analysis. However, a limitation of such models is that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Nadja Klein , Torsten Hothorn , Luisa Barbanti , Thomas Kneib

For an m-dimensional multivariate extreme value distribution there exist 2^{m}-1 exponent measures which are linked and completely characterise the dependence of the distribution and all of its lower dimensional margins. In this paper we…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-01 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

We study (asymmetric) $U$-statistics based on a stationary sequence of $m$-dependent variables; moreover, we consider constrained $U$-statistics, where the defining multiple sum only includes terms satisfying some restrictions on the gaps…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-10 Svante Janson

Condensation is the phenomenon whereby one of a sum of random variables contributes a finite fraction to the sum. It is manifested as an aggregation phenomenon in diverse physical systems such as coalescence in granular media, jamming in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-01-20 Juraj Szavits-Nossan , Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

Consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem, where the number of covariates is larger than the number of observations and the interest is in estimating the conditional variance of the response variable given the covariates. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-29 David Azriel

Causal models with unobserved variables impose nontrivial constraints on the distributions over the observed variables. When a common cause of two variables is unobserved, it is impossible to uncover the causal relation between them without…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Beata Zjawin , Elie Wolfe , Robert W. Spekkens

It is well known that a random vector with given marginal distributions is comonotonic if and only if it has the largest sum with respect to the convex order [ Kaas, Dhaene, Vyncke, Goovaerts, Denuit (2002), A simple geometric proof that…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-05-10 Chuancun Yin , Dan Zhu