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Risk measures like Marginal Expected Shortfall and Marginal Mean Excess quantify conditional risk and in particular, aid in the understanding of systemic risk. In many such scenarios, models exhibiting heavy tails in the margins and…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-07 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

A key aspect where extreme values methods differ from standard statistical models is through having asymptotic theory to provide a theoretical justification for the nature of the models used for extrapolation. In multivariate extremes many…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-04 Christian Rohrbeck , Jonathan A Tawn

Data exhibiting heavy-tails in one or more dimensions is often studied using the framework of regular variation. In a multivariate setting this requires identifying specific forms of dependence in the data; this means identifying that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-02 Bikramjit Das , Sidney I. Resnick

We consider random vectors $X$ that satisfy the equation in law $X=AX+B$, where $A$ is a given random diagonal matrix and $B$ a given random vector, both independent of $X$. It is well known by the works of Kesten and Goldie that the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Ewa Damek , Sebastian Mentemeier

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

The study of multivariate extremes is dominated by multivariate regular variation, although it is well known that this approach does not provide adequate distinction between random vectors whose components are not always simultaneously…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-17 Natalia Nolde , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Multivariate extreme value theory assumes a multivariate domain of attraction condition for the distribution of a random vector. This necessitates that each component satisfies a marginal domain of attraction condition. An approximation of…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-11 Bikramjit Das , Sidney I. Resnick

A bivariate random vector can exhibit either asymptotic independence or dependence between the largest values of its components. When used as a statistical model for risk assessment in fields such as finance, insurance or meteorology, it is…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-29 Sebastian Engelke , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

We attempt to bring some modest unity to three subareas of heavy tail analysis and extreme value theory: limit laws for componentwise maxima of iid random variables;hidden regular variation and asymptotic independence;conditioned limit laws…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Sidney I. Resnick

Conditional extreme value models have been introduced by Heffernan and Resnick (2007) to describe the asymptotic behavior of a random vector as one specific component becomes extreme. Obviously, this class of models is related to classical…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-24 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen

The problem of inferring the distribution of a random vector given that its norm is large requires modeling a homogeneous limiting density. We suggest an approach based on graphical models which is suitable for high-dimensional vectors. We…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-20 Adrien Hitz , Robin Evans

The multidimensional distributions with heavy tails attracted recently the attention of several papers on Applied Probability. However, the most of the works of the last decades are focused on multivariate regular variation, while the rest…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

The asymptotic tail behaviour of sums of independent subexponential random variables is well understood, one of the main characteristics being the principle of the single big jump. We study the case of dependent subexponential random…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Andrew Richards

Conditionally specified models are often used to describe complex multivariate data. Such models assume implicit structures on the extremes. So far, no methodology exists for calculating extremal characteristics of conditional models since…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-24 Stan Tendijck , Jonathan Tawn , Philip Jonathan

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

Identifying groups of variables that may be large simultaneously amounts to finding out which joint tail dependence coefficients of a multivariate distribution are positive. The asymptotic distribution of a vector of nonparametric,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-28 Maël Chiapino , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

We investigate conditions for the existence of the limiting conditional distribution of a bivariate random vector when one component becomes large. We revisit the existing literature on the topic, and present some new sufficient conditions.…

概率论 · 数学 2010-02-21 Anne-Laure Fougères , Philippe Soulier

We develop an asymptotic theory for extremes in decomposable graphical models by presenting results applicable to a range of extremal dependence types. Specifically, we investigate the weak limit of the distribution of suitably normalised…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-13 Adrian Casey , Ioannis Papastathopoulos
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