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We obtain a new relation between the distributions $\mu_t$ at different times $t\ge 0$ of the continuous-time TASEP (Totally Asymmetric Simple Exclusion Process) started from the step initial configuration. Namely, we present a…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-18 Leonid Petrov , Axel Saenz

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

In this document I aim to give an informal treatment of automatic Backward Filtering Forward Guiding, a general algorithm for conditional sampling from a Markov process on a directed acyclic graph. I'll show that the underlying ideas can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-11-02 Frank van der Meulen

Given a matrix of distribution functions and a quasi-stochastic matrix, i.e. an irreducible nonnegative matrix with maximal eigenvalue one and associated unique positive left and right eigenvectors, the article studies the properties of an…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-28 Gerold Alsmeyer

We develop a natural Bayesian multiplicity-correcting prior distribution within the probabilistic forward stepwise representation of model space priors for regression problems. The proposed prior, obtained from making an analogy to the Holm…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-29 Andrew Womack , Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez

The paper deals with a new class of random walks strictly connected with the Pareto distribution. We consider stochastic processes in the sense of generalized convolution or weak generalized convolution following the idea given in [1]. The…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-02 Barbara H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Patrick Seifner , Ramses J. Sanchez

We explore two notions of stationary processes. The first is called a random-step Markov process in which the stationary process of states, $(X_i)_{i \in \mathbb{Z}}$ has a stationary coupling with an independent process on the positive…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-07 Neal Bushaw , Karen Gunderson , Steven Kalikow

In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

In this paper we introduce generalised Markov numbers and extend the classical Markov theory for the discrete Markov spectrum to the case of generalised Markov numbers. In particular we show recursive properties for these numbers and find…

数论 · 数学 2018-09-07 Oleg Karpenkov , Matty van-Son

We develop Markov categories as a framework for synthetic probability and statistics, following work of Golubtsov as well as Cho and Jacobs. This means that we treat the following concepts in purely abstract categorical terms: conditioning…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-02 Tobias Fritz

A powerful tool for studying long-term convergence of a Markov process to its stationary distribution is a Lyapunov function. In some sense, this is a substitute for eigenfunctions. For a stochastically ordered Markov process on the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-01 Andrey Sarantsev

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

The construction and formal verification of dynamical models is important in engineering, biology and other disciplines. We focus on non-linear models containing a set of parameters governing their dynamics. The value of these parameters is…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-04-20 Benjamin M. Gyori , Daniel Paulin , Sucheendra K. Palaniappan

An important functional of Poisson random measure is the negative binomial process (NBP). We use NBP to introduce a generalized Poisson-Kingman distribution and its corresponding random discrete probability measure. This random discrete…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-04 Sadegh Chegini , Mahmoud Zarepour

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the finite-dimensional distributions and asymptotic behavior of extremal Markov processes connected to the Kendall convolution. In particular, based on its stochastic representation, we provide…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-10 Marek Arendarczyk , Barbara Jasiulis-Gołdyn , Edward Omey

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling