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It is well-known that compositions of Markov processes with inverse subordinators are governed by integro-differential equations of generalized fractional type. This kind of processes are of wide interest in statistical physics as they are…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-13 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Costantino Ricciuti

Datasets displaying temporal dependencies abound in science and engineering applications, with Markov models representing a simplified and popular view of the temporal dependence structure. In this paper, we consider Bayesian settings that…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-27 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

In this paper, we consider a class of inhomogeneous semi-Markov processes directly based on intensity processes for marked point processes. We show that this class satisfies the semi-Markov properties defined elsewhere in the literature. We…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-14 Alexander Sokol

The goal of this paper is to analyze distributional Markov Decision Processes as a class of control problems in which the objective is to learn policies that steer the distribution of a cumulative reward toward a prescribed target law,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-09 Nicole Bäuerle , Athanasios Vasileiadis

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We show that the mixed causal-noncausal Vector Autoregressive (VAR) processes satisfy the Markov property in both calendar and reverse time. Based on that property, we introduce closed-form formulas of forward and backward predictive…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-18 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

We prove that a random distribution in two dimensions which is conformally invariant and satisfies a natural domain Markov property is a multiple of the Gaussian free field. This result holds subject only to a fourth moment assumption.

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-24 Nathanael Berestycki , Ellen Powell , Gourab Ray

We present a Markov-chain analysis of blockwise-stochastic algorithms for solving partially block-separable optimization problems. Our main contributions to the extensive literature on these methods are statements about the Markov operators…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-11-01 D. Russell Luke

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

In many branches of engineering, Banach contraction mapping theorem is employed to establish the convergence of certain deterministic algorithms. Randomized versions of these algorithms have been developed that have proved useful in…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-25 Abhishek Gupta , Rahul Jain , Peter Glynn

Recently, several powerful tools for the reconstruction of stochastic differential equations from measured data sets have been proposed [e.g. Siegert et al., Physics Letters A 243, 275 (1998); Hurn et al., Journal of Time Series Analysis…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-13 David Kleinhans , Rudolf Friedrich , Matthias Waechter , Joachim Peinke

The well-known Bayes theorem assumes that a posterior distribution is a probability distribution. However, the posterior distribution may no longer be a probability distribution if an improper prior distribution (non-probability measure)…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-08-28 Hyungsuk Tak , Sujit K. Ghosh , Justin A. Ellis

We develop two models for Bayesian estimation and selection in high-order, discrete-state Markov chains. Both are based on the mixture transition distribution, which constructs a transition probability tensor with additive mixing of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Matthew Heiner , Athanasios Kottas

In order to solve tasks like uncertainty quantification or hypothesis tests in Bayesian imaging inverse problems, we often have to draw samples from the arising posterior distribution. For the usually log-concave but high-dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Matthias J. Ehrhardt , Lorenz Kuger , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

Neutral to the right (NTR) processes were introduced by Doksum in 1974 as Bayesian priors on the class of distributions on the real line. Since that time there have been numerous applications to models that arise in survival analysis…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Lancelot F. James

We consider the down/up crossing property of weighted Markov branching processes. The joint probability distribution of multi crossing numbers of such processes are obtained. In particular, for Markov branching processes, the probability…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-20 Yanyun Li , Junping Li

The analysis of many problems of interest associated with Markov chains, e.g. stationary distributions, moments of first passage time distributions and moments of occupation time random variables, involves the solution of a system of linear…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-29 Jeffrey J. Hunter

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Given a sequence of i.i.d. random functions $\Psi_{n}:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, we consider the iterated function system and Markov chain which is recursively defined by $X_{0}^{x}:=x$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-07 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sara Brofferio , Dariusz Buraczewski

Information geometry of Markov chains has been studied using the dually flat structure of the space of transition probabilities. Although applications of this structure have been investigated, few attempts have examined its statistical…

微分几何 · 数学 2025-11-20 Naomichi Nakajima