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In this article, we study a robust estimation method for a general class of integer-valued time series models. The conditional distribution of the process belongs to a broad class of distribution and unlike classical autoregressive…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-19 Alexey Lindo , Sergei Zuyev , Serik Sagitov

Let $\mathbf {X}=\{X_t, t=1,2,... \}$ be a stationary Gaussian random process, with mean $EX_t=\mu$ and covariance function $\gamma(\tau)=E(X_t-\mu)(X_{t+\tau}-\mu)$. Let $f(\lambda)$ be the corresponding spectral density; a stationary…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-11-07 Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

A continuous-time nonlinear regression model with L\'evy-driven linear noise process is considered. Sufficient conditions of consistency and asymptotic normality of the Whittle estimator for the parameter of the noise spectral density are…

概率论 · 数学 2019-09-24 A. V. Ivanov , N. N. Leonenko , I. V. Orlovskyi

A nonparametric kernel density estimator for directional-linear data is introduced. The proposal is based on a product kernel accounting for the different nature of both (directional and linear) components of the random vector. Expressions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Eduardo García-Portugués , Rosa M. Crujeiras , Wenceslao González-Manteiga

Over the last decade, nonparametric methods have gained increasing attention for modeling complex data structures due to their flexibility and minimal structural assumptions. In this paper, we study a general multivariate nonparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Kunal Rai , Archi Roy , Itai Dattner , Soudeep Deb

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

We propose a novel nonparametric regression framework subject to the positive definiteness constraint. It offers a highly modular approach for estimating covariance functions of stationary processes. Our method can impose positive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-27 Myeongjong Kang

Numerous empirical proofs indicate the adequacy of the time discrete auto-regressive stochastic volatility models introduced by Taylor in the description of the log-returns of financial assets. The pricing and hedging of contingent products…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-10-31 Joan del Castillo , Juan-Pablo Ortega

The spectral density function describes the second-order properties of a stationary stochastic process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This paper considers the nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of a continuous-time stochastic process…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-07 Rafail Kartsioukas , Stilian Stoev , Tailen Hsing

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

We consider a stationary spatio-temporal random process and assume that we have a sample. By defining a sequence of discrete Fourier transforms at canonical frequencies at each location, and using these complex valued random varables as…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-31 T. Subba Rao , Gy. Terdik

This paper presents a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional density associated to the jump rate of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. In our framework, the estimation needs only one observation of the process within a…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-12 Romain Azaïs , François Dufour , Anne Gégout-Petit

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

We present a method for the nonparametric estimation of the drift function of certain types of stochastic differential equations from the empirical density. It is based on a variational formulation of the Fokker-Planck equation. The…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-12-16 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

The linear fractional stable motion (LFSM) extends the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by considering $\alpha$-stable increments. We propose a method to forecast future increments of the LFSM from past discrete-time observations, using the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Matthieu Garcin , Karl Sawaya , Thomas Valade

A maximum likelihood type estimation of the drift and volatility coefficient parameters in the CIR type model driven by $\alpha$-stable noises is studied when the dispersion parameter $\varepsilon\to0$ and the discrete observations…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-10 Xu Yang

We construct fractionally integrated continuous-time GARCH models, which capture the observed long range dependence of squared volatility in high-frequency data. Since the usual Molchan-Golosov and Mandelbrot-van-Ness fractional kernels…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-01 Stephan Haug , Claudia Klüppelberg , German Straub

We consider the problem of estimating the density $\Pi$ of a determinantal process $N$ from the observation of $n$ independent copies of it. We use an aggregation procedure based on robust testing to build our estimator. We establish…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-15 Yannick Baraud