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相关论文: Nonparametric volatility density estimation for di…

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We propose a new estimator for the spot covariance matrix of a multi-dimensional continuous semi-martingale log asset price process which is subject to noise and non-synchronous observations. The estimator is constructed based on a local…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-11 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

We study an unbiased estimator for the density of a sum of random variables that are simulated from a computer model. A numerical study on examples with copula dependence is conducted where the proposed estimator performs favourably in…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-09-19 Patrick J. Laub , Robert Salomone , Zdravko I. Botev

We study the problem of parameter estimation for reflected stochastic processes driven by a standard Brownian motion. The estimator is obtained using nonlinear least squares method based on discretely observed processes. Under some certain…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

We study the estimation of the invariant density of additive fractional stochastic differential equations with Hurst parameter $H \in (0,1)$. We first focus on continuous observations and develop a kernel-based estimator achieving faster…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-23 Chiara Amorino , Eulalia Nualart , Fabien Panloup , Julian Sieber

We investigate densities of vaguely continuous convolution semigroups of probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$. First, we provide results that give upper estimates in a situation when the corresponding jump measure is allowed to be highly…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-30 Tomasz Grzywny , Karol Szczypkowski

The paper considers nonparametric kernel density/regression estimation from a stochastic optimization point of view. The estimation problem is represented through a family of stochastic optimization problems. Recursive constrained…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-05 Vladimir Norkin , Vladimir Kirilyuk

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang

This article present a continuous cascade model of volatility formulated as a stochastic differential equation. Two independent Brownian motions are introduced as random sources triggering the volatility cascade. One multiplicatively…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-26 Jun-ichi Maskawa , Koji Kuroda

We consider a microstructure model for a financial asset, allowing for price discreteness and for a diffusive behavior at large sampling scale. This model, introduced by Delattre and Jacod, consists in the observation at the high frequency…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-07 Mathieu Rosenbaum

Volatility dynamics of wavelet - filtered stock price time series is studied. Using the universal thresholding method of wavelet filtering and a principle of minimal linear autocorrelation of noise component we find that the quantitative…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 I. M. Dremin , A. V. Leonidov

We consider non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the drift coefficient of a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation from discrete-time observations on the solution of this equation. Under suitable regularity conditions that are…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

Existing permanental processes often impose constraints on kernel types or stationarity, limiting the model's expressiveness. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel approach utilizing the sparse spectral representation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-20 Zicheng Sun , Yixuan Zhang , Zenan Ling , Xuhui Fan , Feng Zhou

In this work, we establish the asymptotic normality of the deconvolution kernel density estimator in the context of strongly mixing random fields. Only minimal conditions on the bandwidth parameter are required and a simple criterion on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-19 Ahmed El Ghini , Mohamed El Machkouri

This paper focuses on estimating the invariant density function $f_X$ of the strongly mixing stationary process $X_t$ in the multiplicative measurement errors model $Y_t = X_t U_t$, where $U_t$ is also a strongly mixing stationary process.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-21 Duc Trong Dang , Van Ha Hoang , Phuc Hung Thai

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Alejandra López-Pérez , Manuel Febrero-Bande , Wenceslao González-Manteiga

We propose a new estimator of high-dimensional spot volatility matrices satisfying a low-rank plus sparse structure from noisy and asynchronous high-frequency data collected for an ultra-large number of assets. The noise processes are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Haoxuan Zhang

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

We analyze four different approaches to estimate a multivariate probability density (or the log-density) and its first and second order derivatives. Two methods, local log-likelihood and local Hyv\"arinen score estimation, are in terms of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-11 Christof Strähl , Johanna F. Ziegel , Lutz Duembgen

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov