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We consider the problem of sequential sampling from a finite number of independent statistical populations to maximize the expected infinite horizon average outcome per period, under a constraint that the expected average sampling cost does…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-01-20 Apostolos Burnetas , Odysseas Kanavetas

We describe the solution of an optimal stopping problem for a stable L\'evy process killed at state-dependent rate, which can be seen as a model for bankruptcy. The killing rate is chosen in such a way that the killed process remains…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-29 K. van Schaik , A. R. Watson , X. Xu

We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

We consider chemical reaction networks modeled by a discrete state and continuous in time Markov process for the vector copy number of the species and provide a novel particle filter method for state and parameter estimation based on exact…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2021-02-24 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

A classical problem for Markov chains is determining their stationary (or steady-state) distribution. This problem has an equally classical solution based on eigenvectors and linear equation systems. However, this approach does not scale to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-20 Tobias Meggendorfer

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

Adaptive importance sampling is a powerful tool to sample from complicated target densities, but its success depends sensitively on the initial proposal density. An algorithm is presented to automatically perform the initialization using…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-05-01 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell

A sequence of Markov chains is said to exhibit (total variation) cutoff if the convergence to stationarity in total variation distance is abrupt. We consider reversible lazy chains. We prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-19 Riddhipratim Basu , Jonathan Hermon , Yuval Peres

Computing the stationary distributions of a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) involves solving a set of linear equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or too large, and the equations cannot be solved…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-25 Juan Kuntz , Philipp Thomas , Guy-Bart Stan , Mauricio Barahona

The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for testing general hypothesis in a Markovian setting with random sampling. A discrete Markov chain X is observed at random time intervals $\tau$ k, assumed to be iid with unknown…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-25 Flavia Barsotti , Anne Philippe , Paul Rochet

We discuss a Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) procedure for the random sampling of some one-dimensional lattice paths with constraints, for various constraints. We show that an approach inspired by optimal transport allows us to bound…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-28 Lucas Gerin

In this paper, we consider chains of infinite order on countable state spaces with prohibited transitions. We give a set of sufficient conditions on the structure of the probability kernels of the chains to have at most one stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-22 Christophe Gallesco , Sandro Gallo , Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi

We develop exact simulation (also known as perfect sampling) algorithms for a family of assemble-to-order systems. Due to the finite capacity, and coupling in demands and replenishments, known solving techniques are inefficient for larger…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-24 Ana Bušić , Emilie Coupechoux

Consider a finite renewal process in the sense that interrenewal times are positive i.i.d. variables and the total number of renewals is a random variable, independent of interrenewal times. A finite point process can be obtained by…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-01-06 Nelson Antunes , Vladas Pipiras

We construct an adaptive independent Metropolis-Hastings sampler that uses a mixture of normals as a proposal distribution. To take full advantage of the potential of adaptive sampling our algorithm updates the mixture of normals…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-01-15 P. Giordani , R. Kohn

For a stochastically monotone Markov chain taking values in a Polish space, we present a number of conditions for existence and for uniqueness of its stationary regime, as well as for closeness of its transient trajectories. In particular,…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Sergey Foss , Michael Scheutzow

We analyze to what extent it is possible to copy arbitrary states of a two-level quantum system. We show that there exists a "universal quantum copying machine", which approximately copies quantum mechanical states in such a way that the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-10-30 Vladimir Buzek , Mark Hillery

We prove a strong approximation result for the empirical process associated to a stationary sequence of real-valued random variables, under dependence conditions involving only indicators of half lines. This strong approximation result also…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

An algorithm for estimating quasi-stationary distribution of finite state space Markov chains has been proven in a previous paper. Now this paper proves a similar algorithm that works for general state space Markov chains under very general…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-04 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng