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We consider qualitative and quantitative verification problems for infinite-state Markov chains. We call a Markov chain decisive w.r.t. a given set of target states F if it almost certainly eventually reaches either F or a state from which…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2015-07-01 Parosh Aziz Abdulla , Noomene Ben Henda , Richard Mayr

We use the martingale-theoretic approach of game-theoretic probability to incorporate imprecision into the study of randomness. In particular, we define a notion of computable randomness associated with interval, rather than precise,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-05 Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

This paper presents a simple algorithm to check whether reachability probabilities in parametric Markov chains are monotonic in (some of) the parameters. The idea is to construct - only using the graph structure of the Markov chain and…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2019-07-22 Jip Spel , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…

组合数学 · 数学 2023-06-22 Sara Kropf

The problem of real-time remote tracking and reconstruction of a two-state Markov process is considered here. A transmitter sends samples from an observed information source to a remote monitor over an unreliable wireless channel. The…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-09-22 Mehrdad Salimnejad , Marios Kountouris , Nikolaos Pappas

We consider irreducible reversible discrete time Markov chains on a finite state space. Mixing times and hitting times are fundamental parameters of the chain. We relate them by showing that the mixing time of the lazy chain is equivalent…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-30 Yuval Peres , Perla Sousi

Given an infinitesimal perturbation of a discrete-time finite Markov chain, we seek the states that are stable despite the perturbation, \textit{i.e.} the states whose weights in the stationary distributions can be bounded away from $0$ as…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2016-02-15 Volker Betz , Stephane Le Roux

We propose a method to sample stationary properties of solutions of stochastic differential equations, which is accurate and efficient if there are rarely visited regions or rare transitions between distinct regions of the state space. The…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-03-23 Rüdiger Kürsten , Ulrich Behn

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek

The efficiency of a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm might be measured by the cost of generating one independent sample, or equivalently, the total cost divided by the effective sample size, defined in terms of the integrated…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-12 Youhan Fang , Yudong Cao , Robert D. Skeel

We consider the problem of sampling a multimodal distribution with a Markov chain given a small number of samples from the stationary measure. Although mixing can be arbitrarily slow, we show that if the Markov chain has a $k$th order…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-15 Frederic Koehler , Holden Lee , Thuy-Duong Vuong

We consider a moving target that we seek to learn from samples. Our results extend randomized techniques developed in control and optimization for a constant target to the case where the target is changing. We derive a novel bound on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-11-11 Nikolaus Vertovec , Kostas Margellos , Maria Prandini

We study the Markov chain on $\mathbf{F}_p$ obtained by applying a function $f$ and adding $\pm\gamma$ with equal probability. When $f$ is a linear function, this is the well-studied Chung--Diaconis--Graham process. We consider two cases:…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-08 Jimmy He

We give a Markov chain based perfect sampler for uniform sampling solutions of constraint satisfaction problems (CSP). Under some mild Lov\'asz local lemma conditions where each constraint of the CSP has a small number of forbidden local…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-07-09 Kun He , Xiaoming Sun , Kewen Wu

We consider the problem of estimating the state of a continuous-time Markov chain from noisy observations. We show that the corresponding optimal filter is strictly contracting pathwise, when considered in the Hilbert projective space, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-04 Samuel N. Cohen , Eliana Fausti

Interprocedural analysis by means of partial tabulation of summary functions may not terminate when the same procedure is analyzed for infinitely many abstract calling contexts or when the abstract domain has infinite strictly ascending…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2016-06-27 Stefan Schulze Frielinghaus , Helmut Seidl , Ralf Vogler

This paper analyzes the performance of sequential importance sampling algorithms for estimating the number of perfect matchings in bipartite graphs. Precise bounds on the number of samples required to yield an accurate estimate are derived.…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-01 Andy Tsao

Let $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ be a stationary real-valued time series with unknown distribution. Our goal is to estimate the conditional expectation of $X_{n+1}$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0\le i\le n$ in a strongly consistent way.…

概率论 · 数学 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

A wide class of ``counting'' problems have been studied in Computer Science. Three typical examples are the estimation of - (i) the permanent of an $n\times n$ 0-1 matrix, (ii) the partition function of certain $n-$ particle Statistical…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Ravi Kannan

Kolmogorov complexity and algorithmic probability are defined only up to an additive resp. multiplicative constant, since their actual values depend on the choice of the universal reference computer. In this paper, we analyze a natural…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2010-03-29 Markus Mueller