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A class of examples is constructed to show that for strictly stationary Markov chains that are reversible, the simultaneous mixing rates for the $\rho$-mixing and strong mixing ($\alpha$-mixing) conditions can be fairly arbitrary, within…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-04 Richard C. Bradley

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a Markov Random Field with hard-constraints using a single sample. As our main running examples, we use the $k$-SAT and the proper coloring models, as well as general $H$-coloring…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Andreas Galanis , Alkis Kalavasis , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

We investigate the mixing properties of a finite Markov chain in random environment defined as a mixture of a deterministic chain and a chain whose state space has been permuted uniformly at random. This work is the counterpart of a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-07 Bastien Dubail

Simulated annealing - moving from a tractable distribution to a distribution of interest via a sequence of intermediate distributions - has traditionally been used as an inexact method of handling isolated modes in Markov chain samplers.…

计算物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 Junheng Ma , Joe Sedransk , Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Motivated by applications in Markov chain Monte Carlo, we discuss what it means for one Markov chain to be an approximation to another. Specifically included in that discussion are situations in which a Markov chain with continuous state…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Mark Jerrum

Sampling from the conditional (or posterior) probability distribution of the latent states of a Hidden Markov Model, given the realization of the observed process, is a non-trivial problem in the context of Markov Chain Monte Carlo. To do…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-29 Sumeetpal S. Singh , Fredrik Lindsten , Eric Moulines

This paper introduces new efficient algorithms for two problems: sampling conditional on vertex degrees in unweighted graphs, and sampling conditional on vertex strengths in weighted graphs. The algorithms can sample conditional on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-19 James Scott , Axel Gandy

The problem of efficiently sampling from a set of (undirected, or directed) graphs with a given degree sequence has many applications. One approach to this problem uses a simple Markov chain, which we call the switch chain, to perform the…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2017-09-13 Catherine Greenhill , Matteo Sfragara

Gibbs sampling is a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method often used in Bayesian learning. MCMC methods can be difficult to deploy on parallel and distributed systems due to their inherently sequential nature. We study asynchronous Gibbs…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Alexander Terenin , Daniel Simpson , David Draper

In this paper we consider stopping problems for continuous-time Markov chains under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. More precisely our aim is to maximize the certainty…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-05 Nicole Bäuerle , Anton Popp

We investigate multivariate regular variation in the context of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general vector spaces and in random coefficient linear models. In the first part, we show that the regular variation of the stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-23 Piotr Dyszewski , Tamara Mika

A general criterion is given for when a Markov chain trapped with probability p(x) in state x will be almost surely trapped. The quenched (state x is a trap forever with probability p(x)) and annealed (state x traps with probability p(x) on…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-07 Robin Pemantle , Stanislav Volkov

We investigate the statistical complexity of estimating the parameters of a discrete-state Markov chain kernel from a single long sequence of state observations. In the finite case, we characterize (modulo logarithmic factors) the minimax…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-14 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

Advances in sampling schemes for Markov jump processes have recently enabled multiple inferential tasks. However, in statistical and machine learning applications, we often require that these continuous-time models find support on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-08 Iker Perez , Lax Chan , Mercedes Torres Torres , James Goulding , Theodore Kypraios

We consider a vector of $N$ independent binary variables, each with a different probability of success. The distribution of the vector conditional on its sum is known as the conditional Bernoulli distribution. Assuming that $N$ goes to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-12-08 Jeremy Heng , Pierre E. Jacob , Nianqiao Ju

The local computation of Linial [FOCS'87] and Naor and Stockmeyer [STOC'93] concerns with the question of whether a locally definable distributed computing problem can be solved locally: for a given local CSP whether a CSP solution can be…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-09-09 Weiming Feng , Yuxin Sun , Yitong Yin

We consider a class of discrete time Markov chains with state space [0,1] and the following dynamics. At each time step, first the direction of the next transition is chosen at random with probability depending on the current location. Then…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-04 Shaun McKinlay , Konstantin Borovkov

A current challenge for many Bayesian analyses is determining when to terminate high-dimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations. To this end, we propose using an automated sequential stopping procedure that terminates the simulation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-03-24 Lei Gong , James M. Flegal