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We consider a random interval splitting process, in which the splitting rule depends on the empirical distribution of interval lengths. We show that this empirical distribution converges to a limit almost surely as the number of intervals…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Elliot Paquette

Two of the most popular approximations for the distribution of the steady-state waiting time, $W_{\infty}$, of the M/G/1 queue are the so-called heavy-traffic approximation and heavy-tailed asymptotic, respectively. If the traffic…

概率论 · 数学 2011-04-08 Mariana Olvera-Cravioto , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

A phase-type distribution is the distribution of the time until absorption in a finite state-space time-homogeneous Markov jump process, with one absorbing state and the rest being transient. These distributions are mathematically tractable…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-08 Martin Bladt , Jorge Yslas

We propose a new family of error distributions for model-based quantile regression, which is constructed through a structured mixture of normal distributions. The construction enables fixing specific percentiles of the distribution while,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-10 Yifei Yan , Athanasios Kottas

Estimating the probability distribution 'q' governing the behaviour of a certain variable by sampling its value a finite number of times most typically involves an error. Successive measurements allow the construction of a histogram, or…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Ines Samengo

The notion of expectiles, originally introduced in the context of testing for homoscedasticity and conditional symmetry of the error distribution in linear regression, induces a law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure that has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-20 Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

There are many ways of measuring and modeling tail-dependence in random vectors: from the general framework of multivariate regular variation and the flexible class of max-stable vectors down to simple and concise summary measures like the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-05 Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung , Stilian Stoev

We consider the problem of efficient simulation estimation of the density function at the tails, and the probability of large deviations for a sum of independent, identically distributed, light-tailed and non-lattice random vectors. The…

概率论 · 数学 2017-04-26 Santanu Dey , Sandeep Juneja , Ankush Agarwal

High-dimensional data arise routinely in modern statistics, econometrics, finance, genomics, and machine learning. While a large body of existing methodology is developed under Gaussian or light-tailed assumptions, many real data sets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Long Feng

We construct and analyze the Standard Model of electroweak and strong interactions in multiscale spacetimes with (i) weighted derivatives and (ii) $q$-derivatives. Both theories can be formulated in two different frames, called fractional…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2016-08-30 Gianluca Calcagni , Giuseppe Nardelli , David Rodríguez-Fernández

Discerning between quantum and classical correlations is of great importance. Bell polytopes are well established as a fundamental tool. In this paper, we extend this line of inquiry by applying resource theory within the context of Network…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-06-13 Andrea D'Urbano , Michael de Oliveira , Luís Soares Barbosa

Sharp large deviation results of Bahadur-Ranga Rao type are provided for the $q$-norm of random vectors distributed on the $\ell _{p}^{n}$-ball ${\mathbb{B}}^{n}_{p}$ according to the cone probability measure or the uniform distribution for…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-10 Tom Kaufmann

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

We consider the estimation of small probabilities or other risk quantities associated with rare but catastrophic events. In the model-based literature, much of the focus has been devoted to efficient Monte Carlo computation or analytical…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-02 Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

The paper deals with a new class of random walks strictly connected with the Pareto distribution. We consider stochastic processes in the sense of generalized convolution or weak generalized convolution following the idea given in [1]. The…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-02 Barbara H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn

We study the fundamental task of outlier-robust mean estimation for heavy-tailed distributions in the presence of sparsity. Specifically, given a small number of corrupted samples from a high-dimensional heavy-tailed distribution whose mean…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-11-30 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Jasper C. H. Lee , Ankit Pensia

The first aim of the present note is to quantify the speed of convergence of a conditioned process toward its Q-process under suitable assumptions on the quasi-stationary distribution of the process. Conversely, we prove that, if a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-04-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Covariate shift, a widely used assumption in tackling {\it distributional shift} (when training and test distributions differ), focuses on scenarios where the distribution of the labels conditioned on the feature vector is the same, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Deeksha Adil , Jarosław Błasiok