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This article studies local and global inference for smoothing spline estimation in a unified asymptotic framework. We first introduce a new technical tool called functional Bahadur representation, which significantly generalizes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-27 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

We propose a density-free method for frequentist inference on population quantiles, termed Self-Normalized Quantile Empirical Saddlepoint Approximation (SNQESA). The approach builds a self-normalized pivot from the indicator score for a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Hou Jian , Meng Tan , Tian Maozai

Traditionally, assessing the accuracy of inference based on regression quantiles has relied on the Bahadur representation. This provides an error of order $n^{-1/4}$ in normal approximations, and suggests that inference based on regression…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-04 Stephen Portnoy

It is well-known that value added per worker is extremely heterogeneous among firms, but relatively little has been done to characterize this heterogeneity more precisely. Here we show that the distribution of value-added per worker…

We introduce a method to sample the orientational distribution function in computer simulations. The method is based on the exact torque balance equation for classical many-body systems of interacting anisotropic particles in equilibrium.…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2023-04-12 Johannes Renner , Matthias Schmidt , Daniel de las Heras

This paper introduces a unified family of smoothed quantile estimators that continuously interpolate between classical empirical quantiles and the sample mean. The estimators q(z, h) are defined as minimizers of a regularized objective…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-31 Saïd Maanan , Azzouz Dermoune , Ahmed El Ghini

This paper studies a continuous-time joint sampling-and-preemption problem, incorporating sampling and preemption penalties under general service-time distributions. We formulate the system as an impulse-controlled piecewise-deterministic…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-01-26 Aimin Li , Yiğit İnce , Elif Uysal

This paper will focus on three different aspects in improving the current practice of stable random projections. Firstly, we propose {\em very sparse stable random projections} to significantly reduce the processing and storage cost, by…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2007-07-13 Ping Li

We propose a test for model specification of a parametric diffusion process based on a kernel estimation of the transitional density of the process. The empirical likelihood is used to formulate a statistic, for each kernel smoothing…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Song Xi Chen , Jiti Gao , Cheng Yong Tang

Heavy-tailed errors impair the accuracy of the least squares estimate, which can be spoiled by a single grossly outlying observation. As argued in the seminal work of Peter Huber in 1973 [{\it Ann. Statist.} {\bf 1} (1973) 799--821], robust…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-16 Wen-Xin Zhou , Koushiki Bose , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu

Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-01-06 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin , Spiridon Penev

High-dimensional data subject to heavy-tailed phenomena and heterogeneity are commonly encountered in various scientific fields and bring new challenges to the classical statistical methods. In this paper, we combine the asymmetric square…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-02 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

Rigorous guarantees about the performance of predictive algorithms are necessary in order to ensure their responsible use. Previous work has largely focused on bounding the expected loss of a predictor, but this is not sufficient in many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-29 Jake C. Snell , Thomas P. Zollo , Zhun Deng , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

We define the quantile set of order $\alpha \in \left[ 1/2,1\right) $ associated to a law $P$ on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ to be the collection of its directional quantiles seen from an observer $O\in \mathbb{R}^{d}$. Under minimal assumptions these…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-06 Adil Ahidar-Coutrix , Philippe Berthet

Geometric quantiles are popular location functionals to build rank-based statistical procedures in multivariate settings. They are obtained through the minimization of a non-smooth convex objective function. As a result, the singularity of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-11 Dimitri Konen , Gilles Stupfler

This note presents an operational measure of fat-tailedness for univariate probability distributions, in $[0,1]$ where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. Among others,1) it helps assess the sample size…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

The key to successful statistical analysis of bivariate extreme events lies in flexible modelling of the tail dependence relationship between the two variables. In the extreme value theory literature, various techniques are available to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Emma S. Simpson , Jonathan A. Tawn