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We introduce a robust estimator of the location parameter for the change-point in the mean based on the Wilcoxon statistic and establish its consistency for $L_1$ near epoch dependent processes. It is shown that the consistency rate depends…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-10 Carina Gerstenberger

We propose a novel, succinct, and effective approach for distribution prediction to quantify uncertainty in machine learning. It incorporates adaptively flexible distribution prediction of $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{X}=x)$ in regression…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Xing Yan , Yonghua Su , Wenxuan Ma

The weak convergence of the quantile processes, which are constructed based on different estimators of the finite population quantiles, is shown under various well-known sampling designs based on a superpopulation model. The results related…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-02 Anurag Dey , Probal Chaudhuri

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-15 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

The performance of quantum key distribution (QKD) heavily depends on statistical inference. For a broad class of protocols, the central statistical task is a random sampling problem, customarily addressed using a hypergeometric tail bound…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-07-15 Vaisakh Mannalath , Víctor Zapatero , Marcos Curty

Addendum: The generalized Box-M\"uller algorithm provides a methodology for generating q-Gaussian random variates. The parameter $-\infty<q\leq3$ is related to the shape of the tail decay; $q<1$ for compact-support including parabola…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-02-12 William Thistleton , Kenric Nelson , John A. Marsh , Constantino Tsallis

Distribution estimation for noisy data via density deconvolution is a notoriously difficult problem for typical noise distributions like Gaussian. We develop a density deconvolution estimator based on quadratic programming (QP) that can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-06 Ran Yang , Daniel Apley , Jeremy Staum , David Ruppert

Using an intrinsic approach, we study some properties of random fields which appear as tail fields of regularly varying stationary random fields. The index set is allowed to be a general locally compact Hausdorff Abelian group $\mathbb{G}$.…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-11 Günter Last

We introduce $\zeta$- and $s$-values as quantile-based standardizations that are particularly suited for hypothesis testing. Unlike p-values, which express tail probabilities, $s$-values measure the number of semi-tail units into a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Paul W. Vos

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for learning the relationship between a response variable and a multivariate predictor while exploring heterogeneous effects. In this paper, we consider statistical inference for quantile regression…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-19 Xuming He , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Quantile regression has demonstrated promising utility in longitudinal data analysis. Existing work is primarily focused on modeling cross-sectional outcomes, while outcome trajectories often carry more substantive information in practice.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-19 Huijuan Ma , Limin Peng , Haoda Fu

(The third edition corrects minor typos and adds 3 chapters synthesized from published papers plus an appendix on maximum entropy distributions.) The monograph investigates the misapplication of conventional statistical techniques to fat…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2025-09-18 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Our aim is to study the backward problem, i.e. recover the initial data from the terminal observation, of the subdiffusion with time dependent coefficients. First of all, by using the smoothing property of solution operators and a…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-02-01 Zhengqi Zhang , Zhi Zhou

Quantifying the impact of parametric and model-form uncertainty on the predictions of stochastic models is a key challenge in many applications. Previous work has shown that the relative entropy rate is an effective tool for deriving…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-04 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

This paper develops robust inference methods for predictive regressions that address key challenges posed by endogenously persistent or heavy-tailed regressors, as well as persistent volatility in errors. Building on the Cauchy estimation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-21 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

In this paper, we introduce quantile coherency to measure general dependence structures emerging in the joint distribution in the frequency domain and argue that this type of dependence is natural for economic time series but remains…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-31 Jozef Baruník , Tobias Kley

By introducing a weight function into the density power divergence, we develop a new class of robust and smooth estimators for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions, offering improved efficiency in the presence of outliers. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-25 Saida Mancer , Abdelhakim Necir , Djamel Meraghni

I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-11-01 Lawrence R. Thorne

Common statistical measures of uncertainty such as $p$-values and confidence intervals quantify the uncertainty due to sampling, that is, the uncertainty due to not observing the full population. However, sampling is not the only source of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Suyash Gupta , Dominik Rothenhäusler

We obtain an uniform tail estimates for natural normed sums of independent random variables (r.v.) with regular varying tails of distributions. We give also many examples on order to show the exactness of offered estimates and discuss some…

概率论 · 数学 2012-06-22 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota