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We study the problem of modeling univariate distributions via their quantile functions. We introduce a flexible family of distributions whose quantile function is a linear combination of basis quantiles. Because the model is linear in its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Cheng Peng , Yizhou Li , Stan Uryasev

The quantitative analysis of financial time series often reveals two distinct features that standard Gaussian frameworks fail to capture: heavy-tailed marginal distributions and the phenomenon of extreme co-movements.While extreme value…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Debanjana Datta , Diganta Mukherjee

We obtain a Bahadur representation for sample quantiles of nonlinear functional of Gaussian sequences with correlation function decreasing as $k^{-\alpha}$ for some $\alpha > 0$. This representation is derived under a mimimal assumption.

统计理论 · 数学 2008-09-30 Jean-François Coeurjolly

Cochran's $Q$ statistic is routinely used for testing heterogeneity in meta-analysis. Its expected value is also used for estimation of between-study variance $\tau^2$. Cochran's $Q$, or $Q_{IV}$, uses estimated inverse-variance weights…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Ilyas Bakbergenuly , David C. Hoaglin , Elena Kulinskaya

For purposes of Value-at-Risk estimation, we consider several multivariate families of heavy-tailed distributions, which can be seen as multidimensional versions of Paretian stable and Student's t distributions allowing different marginals…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-12-20 Carlo Marinelli , Stefano d'Addona , Svetlozar T. Rachev

The generic behavior of quantum systems has long been of theoretical and practical interest. Any quantum process is represented by a sequence of quantum channels. We consider general ergodic sequences of stochastic channels with arbitrary…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-07-08 Ramis Movassagh , Jeffrey Schenker

Univariate normal regression models are statistical tools widely applied in many areas of economics. Nevertheless, income data have asymmetric behavior and are best modeled by non-normal distributions. The modeling of income plays an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-15 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila , Giovanna V. Borges , Marcelo Bourguignon

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

Considerable literature has been devoted to developing statistical inferential results for risk measures, especially for those that are of the form of L-functionals. However, practical and theoretical considerations have highlighted quite a…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-05-31 Abdelhakim Necir , Ričardas Zitikis

We develop a simple Quantile Spacing (QS) method for accurate probabilistic estimation of one-dimensional entropy from equiprobable random samples, and compare it with the popular Bin-Counting (BC) method. In contrast to BC, which uses…

There remain theoretical gaps in deep neural network estimators for the nonparametric Cox proportional hazards model. In particular, it is unclear how gradient-based optimization error propagates to population risk under partial likelihood,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Sattwik Ghosal , Xuran Meng , Yi Li

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution in high dimensions when either the samples are adversarially corrupted or the distribution is heavy-tailed. Recent developments in robust statistics have established efficient…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-01-20 Samuel B. Hopkins , Jerry Li , Fred Zhang

We study the long-time behavior of the scaled walker (particle) position associated with decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times and asymmetric heavy-tailed…

统计力学 · 物理学 2013-02-19 S. I. Denisov , Yu. S. Bystrik , H. Kantz

Generalized linear statistics are an unifying class that contains U-statistics, U-quantiles, L-statistics as well as trimmed and winsorized U-statistics. For example, many commonly used estimators of scale fall into this class.…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-19 Martin Wendler

In this paper we consider the semi-parametric estimation of extreme quantiles of a right heavy-tail model. We propose a new Log Probability Weighted Moment estimator for extreme quantiles, which is obtained from the estimators of the shape…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-16 Frederico Caeiro , Dora Prata Gomes

We propose to smooth the entire objective function, rather than only the check function, in a linear quantile regression context. Not only does the resulting smoothed quantile regression estimator yield a lower mean squared error and a more…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-16 Marcelo Fernandes , Emmanuel Guerre , Eduardo Horta

Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-12 John Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

Quantile regression is a fundamental problem in statistical learning motivated by a need to quantify uncertainty in predictions, or to model a diverse population without being overly reductive. For instance, epidemiological forecasts, cost…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-18 Rasool Fakoor , Taesup Kim , Jonas Mueller , Alexander J. Smola , Ryan J. Tibshirani
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