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相关论文: Optimal Control of Behavioral-Feedback SIR Epidemi…

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A model of reactive social distancing in epidemics is proposed, in which the infection rate changes with the number infected. The final-size equation for the total number that the epidemic will infect can be derived analytically, as can the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-03-19 Rose Baker

Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected with pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-08-22 Akari Matsuki , Gouhei Tanaka

We consider a susceptible, infected, and recovered infectious disease model which incorporates a vaccination rate. In particular, we study the problem of choosing the vaccination rate in order to reduce the number of infected individuals to…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-08-30 Ryan Hynd , Dennis Ikpe , Terrance Pendleton

In this study, we present an integro-differential model to simulate the local spread of infections. The model incorporates a standard susceptible-infected-recovered (\textit{SIR}-) model enhanced by an integral kernel, allowing for…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-07-20 Moritz Schäfer , Karol Niedzielewski , Thomas Götz , Tyll Krüger

This paper studies algorithmic strategies to effectively reduce the number of infections in susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic models. We consider a Markov chain SIR model and its two instantiations in the deterministic SIR…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-24 Yuhao Yi , Liren Shan , Philip E. Paré , Karl H. Johansson

In this paper, we propose a two-group SIR epidemic model to simulate the outcome of stay-at-home policy and wearing face masks during the first COVID-19 epidemic wave in the United States. Based on our proposed model, we further use the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-11 Jun Liu , Xiang-Sheng Wang

Stochastic models are widely used to investigate the spread of epidemics in a complex environment. This paper extends a deterministic SAIRS epidemic model to a stochastic case with limited patient capacity and exposure. We first study the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-20 Xiaohui Zhang , Zhiming Li , Shenglong Chen , Jikai Yang

In this paper we consider SIR epidemics on random graphs with clustering. To incorporate group structure of the underlying social network, we use a generalized version of the configuration model in which each node is a member of a specified…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-15 Carolina Fransson , Pieter Trapman

We propose a novel SIR epidemic model which is driven by the transmission of infection packets in networks. Specifically, infected nodes generate and deliver infection packets causing the spread of the epidemic, while recovered nodes block…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-01-20 Cunlai Pu , Siyuan Li , Jian Yang

In this paper, we present a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model with individuals wearing facial masks and individuals who do not. The disease transmission rates, the recovering rates and the fraction of individuals who wear masks are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-06-01 Duan-Shin Lee , Miao Zhu

The susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model describes the evolution of three species of individuals which are subject to an infection and recovery mechanism. A susceptible $S$ can become infectious with an infection rate $\beta$ by an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-06-30 Gunter M. Schütz , Marian Brandau , Steffen Trimper

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

The SEIR model is a compartmental model used to simulate the dynamics of an epidemic. In this chapter, we introduce two control functions in the compartmental SEIR model representing vaccination and plasma transfusion. Optimal control…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-23 Juliana Couras , Ivan Area , Juan J. Nieto , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-04-27 William G. Faris

The spread of COVID-19 has been thwarted in most countries through non-pharmaceutical interventions. In particular, the most effective measures in this direction have been the stay-at-home and closure strategies of businesses and schools.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-05-04 G. Dimarco , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

We develop a mechanistic model that classifies individuals both in terms of epidemiological status (SIR) and vaccination attitude (willing or unwilling), with the goal of discovering how disease spread is influenced by changing opinions…

In this research paper we modify a classical SIR model to better adapt to the dynamics of COVID-19, that is we propose the heterogeneous SQAIRD model where COVID-19 spreads over a population of economic agents, namely: the elderly, adults…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-19 Elena Gubar , Laura Policardo , Edgar J. Sanchez Carrera , Vladislav Taynitskiy

This paper presents several simple linear vaccination-based control strategies for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model. The model takes into account the total population…

动力系统 · 数学 2011-03-28 M. De la Sen , S. Alonso-Quesada

The aim of this paper is to provide a rigorous mathematical analysis of an optimal control problem with SIR dynamics. The main feature of our study is the presence of state constraints (related to intensive care units ICU capacity) and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-08-25 Florin Avram , Lorenzo Freddi , Dan Goreac

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model has successfully mimicked the propagation of such airborne diseases as influenza A (H1N1). Although the SIR model has recently been studied in a multilayer networks configuration, in almost all…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-07-16 L. G. Alvarez Zuzek , H. E. Stanley , L. A. Braunstein