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In analysis of binary outcomes, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve is heavily used to show the performance of a model or algorithm. The ROC curve is informative about the performance over a series of thresholds and can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-10 John Muschelli

Objective: This study illustrates the ambiguity of ROC in evaluating two classifiers of 90-day LVAD mortality. This paper also introduces the precision recall curve (PRC) as a supplemental metric that is more representative of LVAD…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-04-21 Faezeh Movahedi , Rema Padman , James F. Antaki

Assessment of risk prediction models has primarily utilized measures of discrimination, the ROC curve AUC and C-statistic. These derive from the risk distributions of patients and nonpatients, which in turn are derived from a population…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-12-05 Ralph H. Stern

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an important graphic tool for evaluating a test in a wide range of disciplines. While useful, an ROC curve can cross the chance line, either by having an S-shape or a hook at the extreme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Soutik Ghosal , Zhen Chen

Receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess the suitability of various heart rate variability (HRV) measures for correctly classifying electrocardiogram records of varying lengths as normal or revealing the presence…

医学物理 · 物理学 2019-10-23 Stefan Thurner , Markus C. Feurstein , Steven B. Lowen , Malvin C. Teich

Many medical decisions involve the use of dynamic information collected on individual patients toward predicting likely transitions in their future health status. If accurate predictions are developed, then a prognostic mode can identify…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-22 Aasthaa Bansal , Patrick J. Heagerty

Evaluating and validating the performance of prediction models is a fundamental task in statistics, machine learning, and their diverse applications. However, developing robust performance metrics for competing risks time-to-event data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Zian Zhuang , Wen Su , Eric Kawaguchi , Gang Li

Learning causal effects of a binary exposure on time-to-event endpoints can be challenging because survival times may be partially observed due to censoring and systematically biased due to truncation. In this work, we present debiased…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-15 Eric R. Morenz , Charles J. Wolock , Marco Carone

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of a binary classifier has often been utilized to measure the performance of the classifier. The area beneath this curve is used in particular because of its quoted probabilistic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Steven Redolfi

Across health applications, researchers model outcomes as a function of time to an event, but the event time is right-censored for participants who exit the study or otherwise do not experience the event during follow-up. When censoring…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Jesus E. Vazquez , Yanyuan Ma , Karen Marder , Tanya P. Garcia

Performance measurement is an essential task once a statistical model is created. The Area Under the receiving operating characteristics Curve (AUC) is the most popular measure for evaluating the quality of a binary classifier. In this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-24 Robin Van Oirbeek , Jolien Ponnet , Tim Verdonck

Unmeasured confounding is one of the major concerns in causal inference from observational data. Proximal causal inference (PCI) is an emerging methodological framework to detect and potentially account for confounding bias by carefully…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-24 Kendrick Li , George C. Linderman , Xu Shi , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

In this paper, we present three estimators of the ROC curve when missing observations arise among the biomarkers. Two of the procedures assume that we have covariates that allow to estimate the propensity and the estimators are obtained…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Wenceslao González-Manteiga , Ana Pérez-González

Several efforts have been done to bring ROC analysis beyond (binary) classification, especially in regression. However, the mapping and possibilities of these proposals do not correspond to what we expect from the analysis of operating…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-10-17 Jose Hernandez-Orallo

The ROC curve is the gold standard for measuring the performance of a test/scoring statistic regarding its capacity to discriminate between two statistical populations in a wide variety of applications, ranging from anomaly detection in…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-25 Stéphan Clémençon , Myrto Limnios , Nicolas Vayatis

We develop a method for hybrid analyses that uses external controls to augment internal control arms in randomized controlled trials (RCT) where the degree of borrowing is determined based on similarity between RCT and external control…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-11 Evan Kwiatkowski , Jiawen Zhu , Xiao Li , Herbert Pang , Grazyna Lieberman , Matthew A. Psioda

The accuracy of a diagnostic test is typically characterised using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Summarising indexes such as the area under the ROC curve (AUC) are used to compare different tests as well as to measure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-12-30 Fang Yao , Radu V. Craiu , Benjamin Reiser

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) face inherent limitations, such as ethical or resource constraints, which lead to a limited number of study participants. To address these limitations, recent research endeavors have sought to incorporate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-20 Peijin Wang , Hwanhee Hong , Kyungeun Jeon , Laine Elliott Thomas

Risk prediction that capitalizes on emerging genetic findings holds great promise for improving public health and clinical care. However, recent risk prediction research has shown that predictive tests formed on existing common genetic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-20 Changshuai Wei , Qing Lu

In clinical or epidemiological follow-up studies, methods based on time scale indicators such as the restricted mean survival time (RMST) have been developed to some extent. Compared with traditional hazard rate indicator system methods,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-26 Chengfeng Zhang , Hongji Wu , Baoyi Huang , Hao Yuan , Yawen Hou , Zheng Chen