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Can one understand the statistics of wins and losses of baseball teams? Are their consecutive-game winning and losing streaks self-reinforcing or can they be described statistically? We apply the Bradley-Terry model, which incorporates the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-07-25 C. Sire , S. Redner

The infield shift has been increasingly used as a defensive strategy in baseball in recent years. Along with the upward trend in its usage, the notoriety of the shift has grown, as it is believed to be responsible for the recent decline in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Sonia Markes , Linbo Wang , Jessica Gronsbell , Katherine Evans

In Major League Baseball, strategy and planning are major factors in determining the outcome of a game. Previous studies have aided this by building machine learning models for predicting the winning team of any given game. We extend this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Morgan Allen , Paul Savala

Nowadays, it becomes a common practice to capture some data of sports games with devices such as GPS sensors and cameras and then use the data to perform various analyses on sports games, including tactics discovery, similar game retrieval,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-30 Qianru Zhang , Zheng Wang , Cheng Long , Siu-Ming Yiu

The introduction of optical tracking data across sports has given rise to the ability to dissect athletic performance at a level unfathomable a decade ago. One specific area that has seen substantial benefit is sports science, as high…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Jacob Mortensen , Luke Bornn

Player performance prediction is a serious problem in every sport since it brings valuable future information for managers to make important decisions. In baseball industries, there already existed variable prediction systems and many types…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Hsuan-Cheng Sun , Tse-Yu Lin , Yen-Lung Tsai

The golf swing is a complex movement requiring considerable full-body coordination to execute proficiently. As such, it is the subject of frequent scrutiny and extensive biomechanical analyses. In this paper, we introduce the notion of golf…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-03-18 William McNally , Kanav Vats , Tyler Pinto , Chris Dulhanty , John McPhee , Alexander Wong

In sports, there is a constant effort to improve metrics which assess player ability, but there has been almost no effort to quantify and compare existing metrics. Any individual making a management, coaching, or gambling decision is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-03 Alexander Franks , Alexander D'Amour , Daniel Cervone , Luke Bornn

The seminal Bradley-Terry model exhibits transitivity, i.e., the property that the probabilities of player A beating B and B beating C give the probability of A beating C, with these probabilities determined by a skill parameter for each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-10 Jess Spearing , Jonathan Tawn , David Irons , Tim Paulden

Professional baseball players are increasingly guaranteed expensive long-term contracts, with over 70 deals signed in excess of \$90 million, mostly in the last decade. These are substantial sums compared to a typical franchise valuation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-18 Brian Bierig , Jonathan Hollenbeck , Alexander Stroud

A new model, which uses the frequency of individuals' annual home run totals, is employed to predict future home run totals and records in Major League Baseball. Complete home run frequency data from 1903--2005 is analyzed, resulting in…

科普物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 D. J. Kelley , J. R. Mureika , J. A. Phillips

We address the value of a baserunner at first base waiting to see if a ball in play falls in for a hit, before running. When a ball is hit in the air, the baserunner will usually wait, to gather additional information as to whether a ball…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-05-05 Peter MacDonald , Dan McQuillan , Ian McQuillan

Data analytics in sports is crucial to evaluate the performance of single players and the whole team. The literature proposes a number of tools for both offence and defence scenarios. Data coming from tracking location of players, in this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-28 Tullio Facchinetti , Rodolfo Metulini , Paola Zuccolotto

Current exergaming sensors and inertial systems attached to sports equipment or the human body can provide quantitative information about the movement or impact e.g. with the ball. However, the scope of these technologies is not to…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2018-04-27 Boris Bačić

We focus in this paper in the estimation of a target trajectory defined by whether a time constant parameter in a simple stochastic process or a random walk with binary observations. The binary observation comes from binary derivative…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-04-25 Adrien Ickowicz

We present evidence, based on play-by-play data from all 6087 games from the 2006/07--2009/10 seasons of the National Basketball Association (NBA), that basketball scoring is well described by a weakly-biased continuous-time random walk.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-07-25 Alan Gabel , S. Redner

As 3-point shooting in the NBA continues to increase, the importance of perimeter defense has never been greater. Perimeter defenders are often evaluated by their ability to tightly contest shots, but how exactly does contesting a jump shot…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-03 Luke Bornn , Daniel Daly-Grafstein

Several performance metrics for quantifying the in-game performances of individual football players have been proposed in recent years. Although the majority of the on-the-ball actions during games constitutes of passes, many of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-05 Lotte Bransen , Jan Van Haaren

Experience is an important asset in almost any professional activity. In basketball, there is believed to be a positive association between coaching experience and effective use of team timeouts. Here, we analyze both the extent to which a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-03-20 Serguei Saavedra , Satyam Mukherjee , James P. Bagrow

Systemic and idiosyncratic patterns in pitching mechanics of 24 top starting pitchers in Major League Baseball (MLB) are extracted and discovered from PITCHf/x database. These evolving patterns across different pitchers or seasons are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-01-30 Fushing Hsieh , Kevin Fujii , Tania Roy , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Brenda McCowan