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Probabilistic representations, such as Bayesian and Markov networks, are fundamental to much of statistical machine learning. Thus, learning probabilistic representations directly from data is a deep challenge, the main computational…
In the optimization under uncertainty, decision-makers first select a wait-and-see policy before any realization of uncertainty and then place a here-and-now decision after the uncertainty has been observed. Two-stage stochastic programming…
The multivariate version of the Mixed Tempered Stable is proposed. It is a generalization of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures. Characteristics of this new distribution and its capacity in fitting tails and capturing dependence structure…
This paper introduces two families of probability distributions for Bayesian analysis of hypertoroidal data. The first family consists of symmetric distributions derived from the projection of multivariate normal distributions under…
Traditional mediation models in both the frequentist and Bayesian frameworks typically assume normality of the error terms. Violations of this assumption can impair the estimation and hypothesis testing of the mediation effect in…
This paper proposes factor stochastic volatility models with skew error distributions. The generalized hyperbolic skew t-distribution is employed for common-factor processes and idiosyncratic shocks. Using a Bayesian sparsity modeling…
Because of its mathematical tractability, the Gaussian mixture model holds a special place in the literature for clustering and classification. For all its benefits, however, the Gaussian mixture model poses problems when the data is skewed…
In this work, we present an algorithmically tractable safe approximation of distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems that contain univariate indicator functions. The latter appear in different applications, but render the model…
The broad class of multivariate unified skew-normal (SUN) distributions has been recently shown to possess important conjugacy properties. When used as priors for the coefficients vector in probit, tobit, and multinomial probit models,…
Gaussian copulas are widely used in the industry to correlate two random variables when there is no prior knowledge about the co-dependence between them. The perturbed Gaussian copula approach allows introducing the skew information of both…
A central problem in machine learning involves modeling complex data-sets using highly flexible families of probability distributions in which learning, sampling, inference, and evaluation are still analytically or computationally…
Motivated by the need for parametric families of rich and yet tractable distributions in financial mathematics, both in pricing and risk management settings, but also considering wider statistical applications, we investigate a novel…
This invited feature article introduces and provides an extensive simulation study of a new Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) framework for estimating the posterior distribution and the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the…
In this paper, we discuss distributed optimization over directed graphs, where doubly-stochastic weights cannot be constructed. Most of the existing algorithms overcome this issue by applying push-sum consensus, which utilizes…
The paper presents Maximal Ellipsoid Backward Reachable Trees MAXELLIPSOID BRT, which is a multi-query algorithm for planning of dynamic systems under stochastic motion uncertainty and constraints on the control input. In contrast to…
Sine-skewed circular distributions are identifiable and have easily-computable trigonometric moments and a simple random number generation algorithm, whereas they are known to have relatively low levels of asymmetry. This study proposes a…
In recent decades, statisticians have been increasingly encountering spatial data that exhibit non-Gaussian behaviors such as asymmetry and heavy-tailedness. As a result, the assumptions of symmetry and fixed tail weight in Gaussian…
To ensure that real-world infrastructure is safe and durable, systems are designed to not fail for any but the most rarely occurring parameter values. By only happening deep in the tails of the parameter distribution, failure probabilities…
Multivariate stochastic volatility models with skew distributions are proposed. Exploiting Cholesky stochastic volatility modeling, univariate stochastic volatility processes with leverage effect and generalized hyperbolic skew…
The family of stable distributions received extensive applications in many fields of studies since it incorporates both the skewness and heavy tails. In this paper, we introduce a package written in the R language called alphastable. The…