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We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

We consider a multi-type Galton-Watson branching processes, where the largest in magnitude positive eigenvalue $\rho$ of the first moments matrix is close to unity. Specifically, we examine the random vector representing the number of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-24 T. B. Lysetskyi , Ya. I. Yeleiko

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-21 Niels B. Kammerer , Wolfgang Stummer

We consider a multitype Galton-Watson process that allows for the mutation and reversion of individual types in discrete and continuous time. In this setting, we explicitly compute the time evolution of quantities such as the mean and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-01 Qiao Huang , Nicolas Privault

A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-10 Serik Sagitov

We study a classical multitype Galton--Watson process with mutation and selection. The individuals are sequences of fixed length over a finite alphabet. On the sharp peak fitness landscape together with independent mutations per locus, we…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-01 Joseba Dalmau

A Galton-Watson process in varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. Based on a two-spine decomposition technique, we provide a probabilistic argument of a Yaglom-type…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-16 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

There is a well-known sequence of constants c_n describing the growth of supercritical Galton-Watson processes Z_n. With 'lower deviation probabilities' we refer to P(Z_n=k_n) with k_n=o(c_n) as n increases. We give a detailed picture of…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Klaus Fleischmann , Vitali Wachtel

We examine the population growth system called Q-processes. This is defined by the Galton-Watson Branching system conditioned on non-extinction of its trajectory in the remote future. In this paper we observe the total progeny up to time…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-19 Azam A. Imomov , Zuhriddin A. Nazarov

Let $\left\{ Z(n),n\geq 1\right\} $ be a critical Galton-Watson branching process with finite variance for the offspring size of particles. Assuming that $0<Z(n)\leq \varphi (n)$, where either $\varphi (n)=an$ for some $a>0$ or $\varphi…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-11 Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

Let $(Z_n,n\geq 0)$ be a supercritical Galton-Watson process whose offspring distribution $\mu$ has mean $\lambda>1$ and is such that $\int x(\log(x))_+ d\mu(x)<+\infty$. According to the famous Kesten \& Stigum theorem, $(Z_n/\lambda^n)$…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-04 Cécile Mailler , Jean-François Marckert

We study an extension of the so-called defective Galton-Watson processes obtained by allowing the offspring distribution to change over the generations. Thus, in these processes, the individuals reproduce independently of the others and in…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-01 Götz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa

Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with immigration in varying environment. For $a\in\{0,1,2,...\},$ let $C=\{n\ge0:Z_n=a\}$ be the collection of times at which the population size of the process attains level $a.$ We give a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-08 Hua-Ming Wang

In this paper, we consider Galton-Watson processes with immigration. Pick $i(\ge2)$ individuals randomly without replacement from the $n$-th generation and trace their lines of descent back in time till they coalesce into $1$ individual in…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-25 Hua-Ming Wang , Lulu Li , Huizi Yao

Consider a population evolving as a critical continuous-time Galton-Watson (GW) tree. Conditional on the population surviving until a large time $T$, sample $k$ individuals uniformly at random (without replacement) from amongst those alive…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-07 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Juan Carlos Pardo

We consider a branching random walk on a multi($Q$)-type, supercritical Galton-Watson tree which satisfies Kesten-Stigum condition. We assume that the displacements associated with the particles of type $Q$ have regularly varying tails of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-09-25 Ayan Bhattacharya , Krishanu Maulik , Zbigniew Palmowski , Parthanil Roy

We derive an upper bound for the annealed return probability for the simple random walk on supercritical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees. The bound decays subexponentially in time $t$ with $t^{1/3}$ in the exponent. It is valid for all…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-04 Markus Heydenreich , Peter Müller , Sara Terveer

A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-15 Vincent Bansaye , Julien Berestycki

Consider any supercritical Galton-Watson process which may become extinct with positive probability. It is a well-understood and intuitively obvious phenomenon that, on the survival set, the process may be pathwise decomposed into a…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-09 A. E. Kyprianou , J-L. Perez , Y-X. Ren

This paper provides a detailed analysis of the lower deviation probability properties for a $d$-type ($d>1$) Galton--Watson (GW) process $\{\textbf{Z}_n=(Z_n^{(i)})_{1\le i\le d};n\ge0\}$ in both Schr\"{o}der and B\"{o}ttcher cases. We…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-01 Tan Jiangrui