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Lower deviation probabilities for supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson processes

Probability 2025-07-01 v1

Abstract

This paper provides a detailed analysis of the lower deviation probability properties for a dd-type (d>1d>1) Galton--Watson (GW) process {Zn=(Zn(i))1id;n0}\{\textbf{Z}_n=(Z_n^{(i)})_{1\le i\le d};n\ge0\} in both Schr\"{o}der and B\"{o}ttcher cases. We establish explicit decay rates for the following probabilities: P(Zn=kn), P(Znkn), P(Zn(i)=kn)  and  P(Zn(i)kn),1id,\mathbb{P}(\textbf{Z}_n=\textbf{k}_n),~ \mathbb{P}(|\textbf{Z}_n|\le k_n), ~\mathbb{P}(Z^{(i)}_n=k_n)~~\text{and}~~\mathbb{P}(Z^{(i)}_n\le k_n), 1\le i \le d, respectively, where knZ+d\textbf{k}_n\in\mathbb{Z}_+^d, kn=o(cn)|\textbf{k}_n|=\mathrm{o}(c_n), kn=o(cn)k_n=\mathrm{o}(c_n) and cnc_n characterizes the growth rate of Zn\textbf{Z}_n. These results extend the single-type lower deviation theorems of Fleischmann and Wachtel (Ann. Inst. Henri Poincar\'e Probab. Statist.\textbf{43} (2007) 233-255), thereby paving the way for analysis of precise decay rates of large deviations in multi-type GW processes.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2506.23647,
  title  = {Lower deviation probabilities for supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson processes},
  author = {Tan Jiangrui},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2506.23647},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T03:39:10.470Z