English

Defective Galton-Watson processes in a varying environment

Probability 2021-10-01 v2

Abstract

We study an extension of the so-called defective Galton-Watson processes obtained by allowing the offspring distribution to change over the generations. Thus, in these processes, the individuals reproduce independently of the others and in accordance to some possibly defective offspring distribution depending on the generation. Moreover, the defect 1fn(1)1-f_n(1) of the offspring distribution at generation nn represents the probability that the process hits an absorbing state Δ\Delta at that generation. We focus on the asymptotic behaviour of these processes. We establish the almost sure convergence of the process to a random variable with values in N0{Δ}\mathbb{N}_0\cup\{\Delta\} and we provide two characterisations of the duality extinction-absorption at Δ\Delta. We also state some results on the absorption time and the properties of the process conditioned upon its non-absorption, some of which require us to introduce the notion of defective branching trees in varying environment.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2011.08949,
  title  = {Defective Galton-Watson processes in a varying environment},
  author = {Götz Kersting and Carmen Minuesa},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2011.08949},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

27 pages, 1 figure. This is a plain version of the paper to appear in Bernoulli (see the official journal website: http://www.bernoulli-society.org/index.php/publications/bernoulli-journal/bernoulli-journal)

R2 v1 2026-06-23T20:19:47.035Z