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We consider additive functionals of systems of random measures whose initial configuration is given by a Poisson point process, and whose individual components evolve according to arbitrary Markovian or non-Markovian measure valued…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-03 Arturo Jaramillo , Antonio Murillo-Salas

We study the asymptotic distributions of the number of crossings and the number of simple chords in a random chord diagram. Using size-bias coupling and Stein's method, we obtain bounds on the Kolmogorov distance between the distribution of…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-13 J. E. Paguyo

This article introduces the notion of Generalized Poisson-Kac (GPK) processes which generalize the class of "telegrapher's noise dynamics" introduced by Marc Kac in 1974, usingPoissonian stochastic perturbations. In GPK processes the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-08-02 Massimiliano Giona , Antonio Brasiello , Silvestro Crescitelli

In this work, we study the normal approximation and almost sure central limit theorems for some functionals of an independent sequence of Rademacher random variables. In particular, we provide a new chain rule that improves the one derived…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-16 Guangqu Zheng

We propose a novel fused Gromov-Wasserstein alignment method to jointly learn the Hawkes processes in different event spaces, and align their event types. Given two Hawkes processes, we use fused Gromov-Wasserstein discrepancy to measure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-08 Dixin Luo , Hongteng Xu , Lawrence Carin

This paper provides an introduction to the Stein method framework in the context of steady-state diffusion approximations. The framework consists of three components: the Poisson equation and gradient bounds, generator coupling, and moment…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-21 Anton Braverman , J. G. Dai , Jiekun Feng

We consider the error arising from the approximation of an N-particle dynamics with its description in terms of a one-particle kinetic equation. We estimate the distance between the j-marginal of the system and the factorized state,…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-08-15 Thierry Paul , Mario Pulvirenti , Sergio Simonella

In this paper, we apply the Stein's method in the context of point processes, namely when the target measure is the distribution of a finite Poisson point process. We show that the so-called Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance between such a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-09 Laurent Decreusefond , Aurélien Vasseur

In this paper, we study a discrete-time analogue of a Hawkes process, modelled as a Poisson autoregressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. The model is characterized to allow these parameters to take negative…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-04 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

This paper deals with the quantitative normal approximation of non-linear functionals of Poisson random measures, where the quality is measured by the Kolmogorov distance. Combining Stein's method with the Malliavin calculus of variations…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-30 Peter Eichelsbacher , Christoph Thaele

We provide a complete solution of the problems of the probability distribution and the escape rate in Poisson-noise driven systems. It includes both the exponents and the prefactors. The analysis refers to an overdamped particle in a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-18 M. I. Dykman

We compute explicit bounds in the normal and chi-square approximations of multilinear homogenous sums (of arbitrary order) of general centered independent random variables with unit variance. In particular, we show that chaotic random…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-08 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati , Gesine Reinert

This article develops an analytical framework for studying information divergences and likelihood ratios associated with Poisson processes and point patterns on general measurable spaces. The main results include explicit analytical…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-07 Lasse Leskelä

In this paper, we first use the distribution of the number of records to demonstrate that the right tail probabilities of counts of rare events are generally better approximated by the right tail probabilities of Poisson distribution than…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-09 Qingwei Liu , Aihua Xia

We introduce a modified Consensus-Based Optimization model that admits a fully unified and rigorous analysis of its finite-particle dynamics, the associated McKean--Vlasov equation, and their optimization behavior under a single set of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-25 Young-Pil Choi , Seungchan Lee , Sihyun Song

In this paper we provide explicit upper bounds on some distances between the (law of the) output of a random Gaussian NN and (the law of) a random Gaussian vector. Our results concern both shallow random Gaussian neural networks with…

We derive new concentration bounds for time averages of measurement outcomes in quantum Markov processes. This generalizes well-known bounds for classical Markov chains which provide constraints on finite time fluctuations of time-additive…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Federico Girotti , Juan P. Garrahan , Mădălin Guţă

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

We study the total mass of high points in a random model for the Riemann-Zeta function. We consider the same model as in [8], [2], and build on the convergence to 'Gaussian' multiplicative chaos proved in [14]. We show that the total mass…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-24 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Lisa Hartung , Nicola Kistler

We derive Gaussian approximation bounds for $k$-Potential Nearest Neighbor ($k$-PNN) based random forest predictions based on a set of training points given by a Poisson process under fairly mild regularity assumptions on the data…