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Multivariate Gaussian Approximation for Random Forest via Region-based Stabilization

Statistics Theory 2025-05-06 v4 Probability Machine Learning Statistics Theory

Abstract

We derive Gaussian approximation bounds for kk-Potential Nearest Neighbor (kk-PNN) based random forest predictions based on a set of training points given by a Poisson process under fairly mild regularity assumptions on the data generating process. Our approach is based on the key observation that kk-PNN based random forest predictions satisfy a certain geometric property called region-based stabilization. We also compare the rates with those of kk-nearest neighbor-based random forests, highlighting a form of universality in our result. In the process of developing our results, we also establish a probabilistic result on multivariate Gaussian approximation bounds for general functionals of Poisson process that are region-based stabilizing. This general result makes use of the Malliavin-Stein method, and is potentially applicable to various related statistical problems.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2403.09960,
  title  = {Multivariate Gaussian Approximation for Random Forest via Region-based Stabilization},
  author = {Zhaoyang Shi and Chinmoy Bhattacharjee and Krishnakumar Balasubramanian and Wolfgang Polonik},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.09960},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T15:21:06.847Z