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Discrete diffusion models have gained increasing attention for their ability to model complex distributions with tractable sampling and inference. However, the error analysis for discrete diffusion models remains less well-understood. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Yinuo Ren , Haoxuan Chen , Grant M. Rotskoff , Lexing Ying

Consider a parametrized family of general hidden Markov models, where both the observed and unobserved components take values in a complete separable metric space. We prove that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter is…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-03-10 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson , Ramon van Handel

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-21 Botond Cseke , David Schnoerr , Manfred Opper , Guido Sanguinetti

We consider invariant transports of stationary random measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and establish natural mixing criteria that guarantee persistence of asymptotic variances. To check our mixing assumptions, which are based on two-point Palm…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-09 Michael A. Klatt , Günter Last , Luca Lotz , D. Yogeshwaran

We present a simple strategy to derive universal bounds on the spectral gap of reversible stochastic exchange models on arbitrary graphs. The Kipnis-Marchioro-Presutti (KMP) model, the harmonic process (HP), and the immediate exchange model…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Seonwoo Kim , Matteo Quattropani , Federico Sau

A hidden Markov model (HMM) is said to have path-mergeable states if for any two states i,j there exists a word w and state k such that it is possible to transition from both i and j to k while emitting w. We show that for a finite HMM with…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-06 Nicholas F. Travers

We consider random perturbations of discrete-time dynamical systems. We give sufficient conditions for the stochastic stability of certain classes of maps, in a strong sense. This improves the main result in J. F. Alves, V. Araujo, Random…

动力系统 · 数学 2010-03-01 Jose F. Alves , Helder Vilarinho

We propose a notion of conditioned stochastic stability of invariant measures on repellers: we consider whether quasi-ergodic measures of absorbing Markov processes, generated by random perturbations of the deterministic dynamics and…

The mean compositions of individual components can be tuned to control phase behavior in number-conserving passive mixtures. In this work, we investigate the role of variable average density in a system of infinitely many non-reciprocally…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-09 Laya Parkavousi , Suropriya Saha

Motivated by applications in movement ecology, in this paper I propose a new class of integrated continuous-time hidden Markov models in which each observation depends on the underlying state of the process over the whole interval since the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-01 Paul G Blackwell

A variety of physical phenomena involve the nonlinear transfer of energy from weakly damped modes subjected to external forcing to other modes which are more heavily damped. In this work we explore this in (finite-dimensional) stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-07 Jacob Bedrossian , Kyle Liss

We investigate the mixing properties of a finite Markov chain in random environment defined as a mixture of a deterministic chain and a chain whose state space has been permuted uniformly at random. This work is the counterpart of a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-07 Bastien Dubail

The conformational kinetics of enzymes can be reliably revealed when they are governed by Markovian dynamics. Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are appropriate especially in the case of conformational states that are hardly distinguishable.…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2009-02-05 A. Kovalev , N. Zarrabi , F. Werz , M. Boersch , Z. Ristic , H. Lill , D. Bald , C. Tietz , J. Wrachtrup

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

We study finite-time mixing in time-periodic open flow systems. We describe the transport of densities in terms of a transfer operator, which is represented by the transition matrix of a finite-state Markov chain. The transport processes in…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-05-05 Anna Klünker , Kathrin Padberg-Gehle , Jean-Luc Thiffeault

We study an one-dimensional stochastic model of vehicular traffic on open segments of a single-lane road of finite size $L$. The vehicles obey a stochastic discrete-time dynamics which is a limiting case of the generalized Totally…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-01-17 J. G. Brankov , N. Zh. Bunzarova , N. C. Pesheva , V. B. Priezzhev

The problem of identifiability of finite mixtures of finite product measures is studied. A mixture model with $K$ mixture components and $L$ observed variables is considered, where each variable takes its value in a finite set with…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-17 Behrooz Tahmasebi , Seyed Abolfazl Motahari , Mohammad Ali Maddah-Ali

Filter stability is a classical problem in the study of partially observed Markov processes (POMP), also known as hidden Markov models (HMM). For a POMP, an incorrectly initialized non-linear filter is said to be (asymptotically) stable if…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-22 Curtis McDonald , Serdar Yuksel

This paper introduces Discrete Markov Probabilistic Models (DMPMs), a novel discrete diffusion algorithm for discrete data generation. The algorithm operates in discrete bit space, where the noising process is a continuous-time Markov chain…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-09 Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Dario Shariatian , Antonio Ocello , Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus

With the symbolic framework of Probability Bracket Notation (PBN), the Markov Sequence Projector (MSP) is introduced to expand the evolution formula of Homogeneous Markov Chains (HMCs). The well-known weather example, a Visible Markov Model…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-21 Xing M. Wang