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We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

We study mixture of linear regression (random coefficient) models, which capture population heterogeneity by allowing the regression coefficients to follow an unknown distribution $G^*$. In contrast to common parametric methods that fix the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Hansheng Jiang , Adityanand Guntuboyina

Deep Markov models (DMM) are generative models that are scalable and expressive generalization of Markov models for representation, learning, and inference problems. However, the fundamental stochastic stability guarantees of such models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Ján Drgoňa , Sayak Mukherjee , Jiaxin Zhang , Frank Liu , Mahantesh Halappanavar

Regularized regression models are well studied and, under appropriate conditions, offer fast and statistically interpretable results. However, large data in many applications are heterogeneous in the sense of harboring distributional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Konstantinos Perrakis , Thomas Lartigue , Frank Dondelinger , Sach Mukherjee

In a recent paper, Melbourne and Terhesiu [Operator renewal theory and mixing rates for dynamical systems with infinite measure, Invent. Math. 189 (2012), 61-110] obtained results on mixing and mixing rates for a large class of…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-05-03 Ian Melbourne

Uncertainty propagation in non-linear dynamical systems has become a key problem in various fields including control theory and machine learning. In this work we focus on discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems. We present a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-12 Eduardo Figueiredo , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

Bayesian network models with latent variables are widely used in statistics and machine learning. In this paper we provide a complete algebraic characterization of Bayesian network models with latent variables when the observed variables…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans

We study dynamical systems acting on the path space of a stationary (non-simple) Bratteli diagram. For such systems we explicitly describe all ergodic probability measures invariant with respect to the tail equivalence relation (or the…

动力系统 · 数学 2009-04-02 S. Bezuglyi , J. Kwiatkowski , K. Medynets , B. Solomyak

Local diffusion coefficients in disordered systems such as spin glass systems and living cells are highly heterogeneous and may change over time. Such a time-dependent and spatially heterogeneous environment results in irreproducibility of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-12-21 Takuma Akimoto , Eiji Yamamoto

Let 0<\alpha<1/2. We show that the mixing time of a continuous-time reversible Markov chain on a finite state space is about as large as the largest expected hitting time of a subset of stationary measure at least \alpha of the state space.…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-28 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

Through a Metropolis-like algorithm with single step computational cost of order one, we build a Markov chain that relaxes to the canonical Fermi statistics for k non-interacting particles among m energy levels. Uniformly over the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-14 Alexandre Gaudilliere , Julien Reygner

We consider a high-dimensional mean estimation problem over a binary hidden Markov model, which illuminates the interplay between memory in data, sample size, dimension, and signal strength in statistical inference. In this model, an…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-13 Yihan Zhang , Nir Weinberger

Density tempering (also called density annealing) is a sequential Monte Carlo approach to Bayesian inference for general state models; it is an alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo. When applied to state space models, it moves a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-05 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Minh Ngoc Tran

We prove bounds on statistical distances between high-dimensional exchangeable mixture distributions (which we call \emph{permutation mixtures}) and their i.i.d. counterparts. Our results are based on a novel method for controlling $\chi^2$…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-17 Yanjun Han , Jonathan Niles-Weed

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

We consider Hidden Markov Models that emit sequences of observations that are drawn from continuous distributions. For example, such a model may emit a sequence of numbers, each of which is drawn from a uniform distribution, but the support…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Oscar Darwin , Stefan Kiefer

A recent paper of Melbourne & Stuart, A note on diffusion limits of chaotic skew product flows, Nonlinearity 24 (2011) 1361-1367, gives a rigorous proof of convergence of a fast-slow deterministic system to a stochastic differential…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-06-15 Georg A. Gottwald , Ian Melbourne

The graph-related symmetries of a reaction network give rise to certain special equilibria (such as complex balanced equilibria) in deterministic models of dynamics of the reaction network. Correspondingly, in the stochastic setting, when…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-21 Daniele Cappelletti , Badal Joshi

In this article we show how ideas, methods and results from optimal transportation can be used to study various aspects of the stationary measuresof Iterated Function Systems equipped with a probability distribution. We recover a classical…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2021-06-02 Benoît Kloeckner