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We study a class of dynamically consistent risk measures that robustify a time-homogeneous Markovian reference model by allowing for distributional uncertainty in its transition laws. We start from one-step convex risk evaluations in which…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-22 Sven Fuhrmann , Michael Kupper , Max Nendel

The Dirichlet process mixture model and more general mixtures based on discrete random probability measures have been shown to be flexible and accurate models for density estimation and clustering. The goal of this paper is to illustrate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-02 Ernesto Barrios , Antonio Lijoi , Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Igor Prünster

We introduce the Mass Migration Process (MMP), a conservative particle system on ${\mathbb N}^{{\mathbb Z}^d}$. It consists in jumps of $k$ particles ($k\ge 1$) between sites, with a jump rate depending only on the state of the system at…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-08 Lucie Fajfrova , Thierry Gobron , Ellen Saada

We study the stochastic 3D primitive equations of the atmospheric mechanics. We consider them under a bounded and non-degenerate noise, which is statistically periodic in time with period $1$. In such a case we prove that the associated…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-03-03 Pierre-Marie Boulvard

Phase-type distribution has been an important probabilistic tool in the analysis of complex stochastic system evolution. It was introduced by Neuts \cite{Neuts1975} in 1975. The model describes the lifetime distribution of a finite-state…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-14 B. A. Surya

We consider the one dimensional boundary driven harmonic model and its continuous version, both introduced in \cite{FGK}. By combining duality and integrability the authors of \cite{FG} obtained the invariant measures in a combinatorial…

In this article a flexible Bayesian non-parametric model is proposed for non-homogeneous hidden Markov models. The model is developed through the amalgamation of the ideas of hidden Markov models and predictor dependent stick-breaking…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-10 Abhra Sarkar , Anindya Bhadra , Bani K. Mallick

Finite mixture and Markov-switching models generalize and, therefore, nest specifications featuring only one component. While specifying priors in the two: the general (mixture) model and its special (single-component) case, it may be…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-04 Łukasz Kwiatkowski

Probabilistic generative models based on measure transport, such as diffusion and flow-based models, are often formulated in the language of Markovian stochastic dynamics, where the choice of the underlying process impacts both algorithmic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Yinuo Ren , Grant M. Rotskoff , Lexing Ying

This study proposes a mixed logit model with multivariate nonparametric finite mixture distributions. The support of the distribution is specified as a high-dimensional grid over the coefficient space, with equal or unequal intervals…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-02-08 Akshay Vij , Rico Krueger

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

This paper aims at improving the convergence to equilibrium of finite ergodic Markov chains via permutations and projections. First, we prove that a specific mixture of permuted Markov chains arises naturally as a projection under the KL…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-22 Michael C. H. Choi , Max Hird , Youjia Wang

Mixture models are probabilistic models aimed at uncovering and representing latent subgroups within a population. In the realm of network data analysis, the latent subgroups of nodes are typically identified by their connectivity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Giacomo De Nicola , Benjamin Sischka , Göran Kauermann

The paper deals with the problem of large-time behaviour of trajectories for discrete-time dynamical systems driven by a random noise. Assuming that the phase space is finite-dimensional and compact, and the noise is a Markov process with a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-15 Sergei Kuksin , Armen Shirikyan

A nonhomogeneous hidden semi-Markov model is proposed to segment toroidal time series according to a finite number of latent regimes and, simultaneously, estimate the influence of time-varying covariates on the process' survival under each…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-25 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

In the first part of the paper, we consider a discrete-time stochastic control system. We show that, under certain conditions, the set of random occupational measures generated by the state-control trajectories of the system as well as the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-12-21 Lucas Gamertsfelder

Recently, an Enskog-type kinetic theory for Vicsek-type models for self-propelled particles has been proposed [T. Ihle, Phys. Rev. E 83, 030901 (2011)]. This theory is based on an exact equation for a Markov chain in phase space and is not…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-07-22 Thomas Ihle

In this paper we study analytically a simple one dimensional model of mass transport. We introduce a parameter $p$ that interpolates between continuous time dynamics ($p\to 0$ limit) and discrete parallel update dynamics ($p=1$). For each…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 R. Rajesh , Satya N. Majumdar

We study stochastic perturbations of linear systems of the form $$ dv(t)+Av(t)dt = \epsilon P(v(t))dt+\sqrt{\epsilon}B(v(t)) dW (t), v\in\mathbb{R}^{D}, (*) $$ where $A$ is a linear operator with non-zero imaginary spectrum. It is assumed…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-08-08 Guan Huang , Sergei Kuksin

A constructive proof of identification of multilinear decompositions of multiway arrays is presented. It can be applied to show identification in a variety of multivariate latent structures. Examples are finite-mixture models and hidden…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-06 Stéphane Bonhomme , Koen Jochmans , Jean-Marc Robin