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The SIR model with spatially inhomogeneous infection rate is studied with numerical simulations in one, two, and three dimensions, considering the case that the infection spreads inhomogeneously in densely populated regions or hot spots. We…

医学物理 · 物理学 2020-12-25 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Yuta Nakao

This paper deals with stability of classical Runge-Kutta collocation methods. When such methods are embedded in linearly implicit methods as developed in [12] and used in [13] for the time integration of nonlinear evolution PDEs, the…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-04-20 Guillaume Dujardin , Ingrid Lacroix-Violet

The paradigm for compartment models in epidemiology assumes exponentially distributed incubation and removal times, which is not realistic in actual populations. Commonly used variations with multiple exponentially distributed variables are…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-10 P. Hernández , C. Pena , A. Ramos , J. J. Gómez-Cadenas

Optimal Strong Stability Preserving (SSP) Runge--Kutta methods has been widely investegated in the last decade and many open conjectures have been formulated. The iterated implicit midpoint rule has been observed numerically optimal in…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-10-01 Tihamér A. Kocsis , Adrián Németh

We obtain conditions for eradication and permanence of infection for a nonautonomous SIQR model with time-dependent parameters, that are not assumed to be periodic. The incidence is given by functions of all compartments and the threshold…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-01-05 César M. Silva

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need to improve the modeling, estimation, and prediction of how infectious diseases spread. SEIR-like models have been particularly successful in providing accurate short-term predictions. This study…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-12-31 Jorge P. Zubelli , Jennifer Loria , Vinicius V. L. Albani

Strong stability preserving (SSP) Runge-Kutta methods are often desired when evolving in time problems that have two components that have very different time scales. Where the SSP property is needed, it has been shown that implicit and…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-08-15 Sigal Gottlieb , Zachary J. Grant , Leah Isherwood

We investigate the long-time dynamics of a SIR epidemic model in the case of a population of pathogens infecting a homogeneous host population. The pathogen population is structured by a genotypic variable. When the initial mass of the…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-06-05 Jean-Baptiste Burie , Arnaud Ducrot , Quentin Griette

In this paper stochastic partitioned Runge-Kutta (SPRK) methods are considered. A general order theory for SPRK methods based on stochastic B-series and multicolored, multishaped rooted trees is developed. The theory is applied to prove the…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-07-19 Sverre Anmarkrud , Kristian Debrabant , Anne Kværnø

The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-04-27 William G. Faris

This paper focuses on and analyzes realistic SIR models that take stochasticity into account. The proposed systems are applicable to most incidence rates that are used in the literature including the bilinear incidence rate, the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-10 Nguyen Du , Alexandru Hening , Nhu Nguyen , George Yin

When evolving in time the solution of a hyperbolic partial differential equation, it is often desirable to use high order strong stability preserving (SSP) time discretizations. These time discretizations preserve the monotonicity…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-08-02 Sidafa Conde , Sigal Gottlieb , Zachary J. Grant , John N. Shadid

Compartmental transmission models have become an invaluable tool to study the dynamics of infectious diseases. The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model is known to have an exact semi-analytical solution. In the current study, the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-03 Kevin Heng , Christian L. Althaus

Deep neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art performance in a variety of fields. Recent works observe that a class of widely used neural networks can be viewed as the Euler method of numerical discretization. From the numerical…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-21 Byungjoo Kim , Bryce Chudomelka , Jinyoung Park , Jaewoo Kang , Youngjoon Hong , Hyunwoo J. Kim

SIR models, also with age structure, can be used to describe the evolution of an infective disease. A vaccination campaign influences this dynamics immunizing part of the susceptible individuals, essentially turning them into recovered…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-10-17 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello

For the description of a pandemic mathematical models could be interesting. Both for physicians and politicians as a base for decisions to treat the disease. The responsible estimation of parameters is a main issue of mathematical pandemic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-15 Günter Bärwolff

The aim of this study is to propose a modified Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) model that describes the behaviour of symptomatic, asymptomatic and hospitalized patients of COVID-19 epidemic, including the effect of demographic…

This work examines the discrete-time networked SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) epidemic model, where the infection and recovery parameters may be time-varying. We provide a sufficient condition for the SIR model to converge to the set…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-01 Ciyuan Zhang , Humphrey Leung , Brooks Butler , Philip. E. Paré

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

We study the global dynamics of a reaction-diffusion SEIR infection model with distributed delay and nonlinear incidence rate. The well-posedness of the proposed model is proved. By means of Lyapunov functionals, we show that the disease…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-04-21 Abdesslem Lamrani Alaoui , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Mouhcine Tilioua , Delfim F. M. Torres