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Effective bounds on the union probability are well known to be beneficial in the analysis of stochastic problems in many areas, including probability theory, information theory, statistical communications, computing and operations research.…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-02 Jun Yang , Fady Alajaji , Glen Takahara

In recent years, tensors have been applied to different applications in science and engineering fields. In order to establish theory about tail bounds of the tensors summation behavior, this work extends previous work by considering the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Shih Yu Chang

We provide exact asymptotics for the tail probabilities $\mathbb{P} \{S_{n,r} > x\}$ as $x \to \infty$, for fix $n$, where $S_{n,r}$ is the $r$-trimmed partial sum of i.i.d. St. Petersburg random variables. In particular, we prove that…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-13 István Berkes , László Györfi , Péter Kevei

We discuss the quenched tail estimates for the random walk in random scenery. The random walk is the symmetric nearest neighbor walk and the random scenery is assumed to be independent and identically distributed, non-negative, and has a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-27 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Ryoki Fukushima

We derive new explicit bounds for the total variation distance between two convolution products of $n$ probability distributions, one of which having identical convolution factors. Approximations by finite signed measures of arbitrary order…

概率论 · 数学 2008-11-06 Bero Roos

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent normal random variables with $X_i\sim N(\mu_i,\sigma_i^2)$, and set $Z=\prod_{i=1}^n X_i$. We derive asymptotic approximations for the right tail probability $\mathbb{P}(Z>x)$ as $x\to\infty$. When at…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-08 Džiugas Chvoinikov , Jonas Šiaulys

We deduce in this paper the sufficient conditions for weak convergence of centered and normed deviation of the u-statistics with values in the space of the real valued continuous function defined on some compact metric space. We obtain also…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-12 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We derive two related novel bounds on single-variable marginal probability distributions in factor graphs with discrete variables. The first method propagates bounds over a subtree of the factor graph rooted in the variable, and the second…

概率论 · 数学 2008-01-25 Joris M. Mooij , Hilbert J. Kappen

Frequentist model averaging has been proposed as a method for incorporating "model uncertainty" into confidence interval construction. Such proposals have been of particular interest in the environmental and ecological statistics…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-18 Paul Kabaila

In 2017-2020 Jordanova and co-authors investigate probabilities for p-outside values and determine them in many particular cases. They show that these probabilities are closely related to the concept for heavy tails. Tukey's boxplots are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Pavlina K. Jordanova

This paper presents two results concerning uniform confidence intervals for the tail index and the extreme quantile. First, we show that it is impossible to construct a length-optimal confidence interval satisfying the correct uniform…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-25 Yuya Sasaki , Yulong Wang

Suppose that $X$ is a bounded-degree polynomial with nonnegative coefficients on the $p$-biased discrete hypercube. Our main result gives sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper tail probability of $X$ whenever an associated extremal…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-14 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

We formulate a uniform tail bound for empirical processes indexed by a class of functions, in terms of the individual deviations of the functions rather than the worst-case deviation in the considered class. The tail bound is established by…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-27 Sohail Bahmani

This paper provides tight bounds on the R\'enyi entropy of a function of a discrete random variable with a finite number of possible values, where the considered function is not one-to-one. To that end, a tight lower bound on the R\'enyi…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-12-11 Igal Sason

For exactly solvable models of planar last passage percolation, it is known that geodesics of length $n$ exhibit transversal fluctuations at scale $n^{2/3}$ and matching (up to exponents) upper and lower bounds for the tail probabilities…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-02 Pranay Agarwal

Consider $n$ real/complex, independent/dependent random variables with respective tail bounds and $g$ a measurable function of the r.v.'s. Consider $f$ the "sharpest" tail bound of $g$ (sharpest in the sense that if $f$ were any less, then…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-26 Stephen Jordan Harrison

This paper develops an optimal Chernoff type bound for the probabilities of large deviations of sums $\sum_{k=1}^n f (X_k)$ where $f$ is a real-valued function and $(X_k)_{k \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}}$ is a finite state Markov chain with an…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-24 Vrettos Moulos , Venkat Anantharam

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent nonnegative random variables (r.v.'s), with $S_n:=X_1+\dots+X_n$ and finite values of $s_i:=E X_i^2$ and $m_i:=E X_i>0$. Exact upper bounds on $E f(S_n)$ for all functions $f$ in a certain class…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

We provide new upper and lower bounds on the minimum possible ratio of the spectral and Frobenius norms of a (partially) symmetric tensor. In the particular case of general tensors our result recovers a known upper bound. For symmetric…

泛函分析 · 数学 2024-03-05 Khazhgali Kozhasov , Josué Tonelli-Cueto

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Christian Y. Robert , Johan Segers