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We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

We propose an extension to Hawkes processes by treating the levels of self-excitation as a stochastic differential equation. Our new point process allows better approximation in application domains where events and intensities accelerate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-23 Young Lee , Kar Wai Lim , Cheng Soon Ong

The Hawkes model is suitable for describing self and mutually exciting random events. In addition, the exponential decay in the Hawkes process allows us to calculate the moment properties in the model. However, due to the complexity of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

Hawkes processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic process that have been applied in diverse areas, from earthquake modelling to financial analysis. They are point processes whose defining characteristic is that they…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-13 Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre , Philip K. Pollett

We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

The Hawkes process is a model for counting the number of arrivals to a system which exhibits the self-exciting property - that one arrival creates a heightened chance of further arrivals in the near future. The model, and its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-20 Patrick J. Laub , Young Lee , Philip K. Pollett , Thomas Taimre

A simple Hawkes model have been developed for the price tick structure dynamics incorporating market microstructure noise and trade clustering. In this paper, the model is extended with random mark to deal with more realistic price tick…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-30 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-12-24 Gifty Malhotra , R. Srivastava , H. C. Taneja

In this paper we propose an overview of the recent academic literature devoted to the applications of Hawkes processes in finance. Hawkes processes constitute a particular class of multivariate point processes that has become very popular…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-05-19 Emmanuel Bacry , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-François Muzy

The Hawkes process and its extensions effectively model self-excitatory phenomena including earthquakes, viral pandemics, financial transactions, neural spike trains and the spread of memes through social networks. The usefulness of these…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Andrew J. Holbrook , Charles E. Loeffler , Seth R. Flaxman , Marc A. Suchard

We present a tractable non-independent increment process which provides a high modeling flexibility. The process lies on an extension of the so-called Harris chains to continuous time being stationary and Feller. We exhibit constructions,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-05-19 Michelle Anzarut , Ramses H. Mena

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat

We study an extension of the Heston stochastic volatility model that incorporates rough volatility and jump clustering phenomena. In our model, named the rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model, the spot variance is a rough…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-10-25 Alessandro Bondi , Sergio Pulido , Simone Scotti

A general method to construct recombinant tree approximations for stochastic volatility models is developed and applied to the Heston model for stock price dynamics. In this application, the resulting approximation is a four tuple Markov…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2016-08-14 Erdinç Akyıldırım , Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process which models self-excitement among time events. It has been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and earthquakes to crime rates and social network activity analysis.Recently, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Rafael Lima

We derive a semi-analytical pricing formula for European VIX call options under the Heston-Hawkes stochastic volatility model introduced in arXiv:2210.15343. This arbitrage-free model incorporates the volatility clustering feature by adding…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-06-21 Oriol Zamora Font

In industrial applications it is quite common to use stochastic volatility models driven by semi-martingale Markov volatility processes. However, in order to fit exactly market volatilities, these models are usually extended by adding a…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2022-06-22 Enrico Dall'Acqua , Riccardo Longoni , Andrea Pallavicini

We consider a model of stochastic volatility which combines features of the multiplicative model for large volatilities and of the Heston model for small volatilities. The steady-state distribution in this model is a Beta Prime and is…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-15 M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota
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