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Consider the problem of pricing options on forwards in energy markets, when spot prices follow a geometric multi-factor model in which several rates of mean reversion appear. In this paper we investigate the role played by slow mean…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2016-02-11 Maren Diane Schmeck

The risk premium is one of main concepts in mathematical finance. It is a measure of the trade-offs investors make between return and risk and is defined by the excess return relative to the risk-free interest rate that is earned from an…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-09-29 Jihun Han , Hyungbin Park

Option written on several foreign exchange rates (FXRs) depends on correlation between the rates. To evaluate the option, historical estimates for correlations can be used but usually they are not stable. More significantly, pricing of the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-05-01 Pavel V. Shevchenko

Central clearing counterparty houses (CCPs) play a fundamental role in mitigating the counterparty risk for exchange traded options. CCPs cover for possible losses during the liquidation of a defaulting member's portfolio by collecting…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-06-29 Claude Martini , Arianna Mingone

The paper is devoted to the study of the short rate equation of the form $$ dR(t)=F(R(t))dt+\sum_{i=1}^{d}G_i(R(t-))dZ_i(t), \quad R(0)=x\geq 0, \quad t>0, $$ with deterministic functions $F,G_1,...,G_d$ and independent L\'evy processes of…

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-16 Michał Barski , Rafał Łochowski

This paper gives an arbitrage-free prediction for future prices of an arbitrary co-terminal set of options with a given maturity, based on the observed time series of these option prices. The statistical analysis of such a multi-dimensional…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-07-22 Petros Dellaportas , Aleksandar Mijatović

In this paper we consider a large class of Bernoulli-type free boundary problems with mixed periodic-Dirichlet boundary conditions. We show that solutions with non-flat profile can be found variationally as global minimizers of the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-08-09 Giovanni Gravina , Giovanni Leoni

Identifying systemic risk patterns in geopolitical, economic, financial, environmental, transportation, epidemiological systems and their impacts is the key to risk management. This paper proposes a new nonlinear time series model:…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-09-03 Jingyu Ji , Deyuan Li , Zhengjun Zhang

We consider the class of affine LIBOR models with multiple curves, which is an analytically tractable class of discrete tenor models that easily accommodates positive or negative interest rates and positive spreads. By introducing an…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2017-02-10 Antonis Papapantoleon , Robert Wardenga

We consider a market with a term structure of credit risky bonds in the single-name case. We aim at minimal assumptions extending existing results in this direction: first, the random field of forward rates is driven by a general…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-17 Sandrine Gümbel , Thorsten Schmidt

We derive an explicit asymptotic approximation for implied volatilities of caplets under the assumption that the short-rate is described by a generic quadratic term-structure model. In addition to providing an asymptotic accuracy result, we…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-09 Matthew Lorig , Natchanon Suaysom

This paper studies a valuation framework for financial contracts subject to reference and counterparty default risks with collateralization requirement. We propose a fixed point approach to analyze the mark-to-market contract value with…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-01-27 Jinbeom Kim , Tim Leung

We study the problem of pricing variable annuities with a multi-layer expense strategy, under which the insurer charges fees from the policyholder's account only when the account value lies in some pre-specified disjoint intervals, where on…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-14 Jiang Zhou , Lan Wu

This paper investigates how the conditional quantiles of future returns and volatility of financial assets vary with various measures of ex-post variation in asset prices as well as option-implied volatility. We work in the flexible…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-08-21 Filip Zikes , Jozef Barunik

In this work we consider one-dimensional generalized affine processes under the paradigm of Knightian uncertainty (so-called non-linear generalized affine models). This extends and generalizes previous results in Fadina et al. (2019) and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-06-11 Benedikt Geuchen , Katharina Oberpriller , Thorsten Schmidt

This article presents a generic model for pricing financial derivatives subject to counterparty credit risk. Both unilateral and bilateral types of credit risks are considered. Our study shows that credit risk should be modeled as American…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-04-09 David Lee

Accelerated failure time (AFT) models are used widely in medical research, though to a much lesser extent than proportional hazards models. In an AFT model, the effect of covariates act to accelerate or decelerate the time to event of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-15 Michael J. Crowther , Patrick Royston , Mark Clements

We develop an arbitrage-free random field LIBOR market model to price cross-currency derivatives. The uncertainty of the forward LIBOR rates of our cross-currency model is driven by a two time parameter random field instead of a finite…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-04-02 Rajinda Wickrama

Any discussion on exchange rate movements and forecasting should include explanatory variables from both the current account and the capital account of the balance of payments. In this paper, we include such factors to forecast the value of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-07-08 Tamal Datta Chaudhuri , Indranil Ghosh

In a previous paper, we introduced reflection equations for interaction-round-a-face (IRF) models and used these to construct commuting double-row transfer matrices for solvable lattice spin models with fixed boundary conditions. In…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-28 David L. O'Brien , Paul A. Pearce , Roger E. Behrend