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相关论文: Stochastic SICA Epidemic Model with Jump L\'{e}vy …

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We propose a stochastic SICA epidemic model for HIV transmission, described by stochastic ordinary differential equations, and discuss its perturbation by environmental white noise. Existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-05-30 Jasmina Djordjevic , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

This paper provides a first attempt to incorporate the massive discontinuous changes in the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics. Namely, we propose an extended class of epidemic models, governed by coupled stochastic semilinear partial…

概率论 · 数学 2023-12-06 Mohamed Mehdaoui

This paper considers a general stochastic SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Levy jump process with heavy tailed increments and possible correlation between noise components. In this framework, we derive new sufficient…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-14 Nicolas Privault , Liang Wang

This paper considers the classical SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional L\'evy jump process. We consecrate to develop a mathematical method to obtain the asymptotic properties of the perturbed model. Our method differs from…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-24 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar

The spread of infectious diseases is a major challenge in our contemporary world, especially after the recent outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The quarantine strategy is one of the important intervention measures to control…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-12-03 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar , Salim El Azami El-idrissi

This paper presents an SIR epidemic model with two different types of perturbations: white and L\'evy noises. We consecrate to develop a mathematical method to obtain the asymptotic properties of the perturbed model. We use the comparison…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-21 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar

Recently, emerging epidemics like COVID-19 and its variants require predictive mathematical models to implement suitable responses in order to limit their negative and profound impact on society. The SIR (Susceptible-InfectedRemoved) system…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-01-26 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar

This paper enhances the classical Solow model of economic growth by integrating L\'evy noise, a type of non-Gaussian stochastic perturbation, to capture the inherent uncertainties in economic systems. The extended model examines the impact…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-03 Almaz Abebe , Shenglan Yuanb , Daniel Tesfay , James Brannan

Natural fluctuations have played a crucial role in affecting the dynamics of pervasive diseases such as the coronavirus. Examining the effects of irregular unsettling disturbances on epidemic models is important for understanding these…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-12-17 Daniel Tesfay , Almaz Tesfay , James Brannan

We propose a unified stochastic SIR model driven by L\'{e}vy noise. The model is structural enough to allow for time-dependency, nonlinearity, discontinuity, demography and environmental disturbances. We present concise results on the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-06 Terry Easlick , Wei Sun

We revisit the SICA (Susceptible-Infectious-Chronic-AIDS) mathematical model for transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) with varying population size in a homogeneously mixing population. We consider SICA models…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-10 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

Literature is full of inference techniques developed to estimate the parameters of stochastic dynamical systems driven by the well-known Brownian noise. Such diffusion models are often inappropriate models to properly describe the dynamics…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-02-19 Babak M. S. Arani

It is the main purpose of this paper to introduce a graph-valued stochastic process in order to model the spread of a communicable infectious disease. The major novelty of the SIR model we promote lies in the fact that the social network on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-02-06 Charanpal Dhanjal , Stéphan Clémençon

For a stochastic COVID-19 model with jump-diffusion, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution. We also investigate some conditions for the extinction and persistence of the disease. We calculate the threshold of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-10-17 Almaz Tesfay , Tareq Saeed , Anwar Zeb , Daniel Tesfay , Anas Khalaf , James Brannan

We consider a stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model. Through the use of a normal form coordinate transform, we are able to analytically derive the stochastic center manifold along with the…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Eric Forgoston , Lora Billings , Ira B. Schwartz

We propose a new stochastic epidemiological model defined in a continuous space of arbitrary dimension, based on SIS dynamics implemented in a spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot (SLFV) process. The model can be described by as little as three…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-09 Apolline Louvet , Bastian Wiederhold

Our study focuses on analyzing the behavior of a stochastic predator-prey model with a time delay and logistic growth of prey, influenced by L\'{e}vy noise. Initially, we establish the existence, uniqueness, and boundedness of a positive…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-04-26 Jaouad Danane , Delfim F. M. Torres

The main purpose of this paper is to study the Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic SIS epidemic model using mean-reverting inhomogeneous geometric brownian motion process. First we demonstrate the existence of a global-in-time solution and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Lahcen Khammich , Driss Kiouach

The impact of spatial structure on the spread of an epidemic is an important issue in the propagation of infectious diseases. Recent studies, both deterministic and stochastic, have made it possible to understand the importance of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-09 Alphonse Emakoua

The phenomenon of an excitable system producing a pulse under external or internal stimulation may be interpreted as a stochastic escape problem. This work addresses this issue by examining the Morris-Lecar neural model driven by symmetric…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-06-18 Yancai Liu , Rui Cai , Jinqiao Duan
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