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A reputation of high volatility accompanies the emergence of Bitcoin as a financial asset. This paper intends to nuance this reputation and clarify our understanding of Bitcoin's volatility. Using daily, weekly, and monthly closing prices…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-02 Nassim Dehouche

This study investigates the volatility of daily Bitcoin returns and multifractal properties of the Bitcoin market by employing the rolling window method and examines relationships between the volatility asymmetry and market efficiency.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-18 Tetsuya Takaishi

Based on 1-minute price changes recorded since year 2012, the fluctuation properties of the rapidly-emerging Bitcoin (BTC) market are assessed over chosen sub-periods, in terms of return distributions, volatility autocorrelation, Hurst…

In this paper, we explore some stylized facts of the Bitcoin market using the BTC-USD exchange rate time series of historical intraday data from 2013 to 2020. Bitcoin presents some very peculiar idiosyncrasies, like the absence of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-04 F. N. M. de Sousa Filho , J. N. Silva , M. A. Bertella , E. Brigatti

This paper conducts an extensive analysis of Bitcoin return series, with a primary focus on three volatility metrics: historical volatility (calculated as the sample standard deviation), forecasted volatility (derived from GARCH-type…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-01-05 Cristina Chinazzo , Vahidin Jeleskovic

In this paper, we study the ability to make the short-term prediction of the exchange price fluctuations towards the United States dollar for the Bitcoin market. We use the data of realized volatility collected from one of the largest…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-08 Tian Guo , Albert Bifet , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

This paper investigates the return-volatility asymmetry of Bitcoin. We find that the cross correlations between return and volatility (squared return) are mostly insignificant on a daily level. In the high-frequency region, we find thata…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-17 T. Takaishi

Bitcoin is a digital financial asset that is devoid of a central authority. This makes it distinct from traditional financial assets in a number of ways. For instance, the total number of tokens is limited and it has not explicit use value.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-20 C. R. da Cunha , R. da Silva

Using 1-min returns of Bitcoin prices, we investigate statistical properties and multifractality of a Bitcoin time series. We find that the 1-min return distribution is fat-tailed, and kurtosis largely deviates from the Gaussian…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-29 Tetsuya Takaishi

This study introduces the concept of the forking effect in the cryptocurrency market,specifically focusing on the impact of forking events on bitcoin, also called parent coin.We use a modified exponential GARCH model to examine the…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-07-24 Florentina Şoiman , Mathis Mourey , Jean-Guillaume Dumas , Sonia Jimenez-Garces

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have attracted growing attention from both private investors and institutions. Among them, Bitcoin stands out for its impressive volatility and widespread influence. This paper explores the predictability…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-29 Grégory Bournassenko

This paper investigates the effects of the launch of Bitcoin futures on the intraday volatility of Bitcoin. Based on one-minute price data collected from four cryptocurrency exchanges, we first examine the change in realized volatility…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-06-11 Wonse Kim , Junseok Lee , Kyungwon Kang

Currently, there is no consensus on the real properties of Bitcoin. The discussion comprises its use as a speculative or safe haven assets, while other authors argue that the augmented attractiveness could end accomplishing money's…

经济学 · 定量金融 2017-06-06 Obryan Poyser

The aim of this paper is to analyse the Bitcoin in order to shed some light on its nature and behaviour. We select 9 cryptocurrencies that account for almost 75\% of total market capitalisation and compare their evolution with that of a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-08 Esther Cabezas-Rivas , Felipe Sánchez-Coll , Isaac Tormo-Xaixo

We show Bitcoin implied volatility on a 5 minute time horizon is modestly predictable from price, volatility momentum and alternative data including sentiment and engagement. Lagged Bitcoin index price and volatility movements contribute to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-30 Faizaan Pervaiz , Christopher Goh , Ashley Pennington , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

Cryptocurrency, the most controversial and simultaneously the most interesting asset, has attracted many investors and speculators in recent years. The visibly significant market capitalization of cryptos also motivates modern financial…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-10 Junjie Hu , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Weiyu Kuo

In recent years a new type of tradable assets appeared, generically known as cryptocurrencies. Among them, the most widespread is Bitcoin. Given its novelty, this paper investigates some statistical properties of the Bitcoin market. This…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-08-16 Aurelio F. Bariviera , María José Basgall , Waldo Hasperué , Marcelo Naiouf

Asymmetric relationship between price and volatility is a prominent feature of the financial market time series. This paper explores the price-volatility nexus in cryptocurrency markets and investigates the presence of asymmetric volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-09 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

Bitcoin, widely recognized as the first cryptocurrency, has shown increasing integration with traditional financial markets, particularly major U.S. equity indices, amid accelerating institutional adoption. This study examines how Bitcoin…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-01-20 Di Wu

This study investigates the influence of monetary policy and monetary policy uncertainties on Bitcoin returns, utilizing monthly data of BTC, and MPU from July 2010 to August 2023, and employing the Markov Switching Means VAR (MSM-VAR)…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Mohammadreza Mahmoudi
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