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相关论文: Brownian Motion & The Stochastic Behaviour of Stoc…

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Many studies assume stock prices follow a random process known as geometric Brownian motion. Although approximately correct, this model fails to explain the frequent occurrence of extreme price movements, such as stock market crashes. Using…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-14 Miguel A. Fuentes , Austin Gerig , Javier Vicente

This paper explores stochastic modeling approaches to elucidate the intricate dynamics of stock prices and volatility in financial markets. Beginning with an overview of Brownian motion and its historical significance in finance, we delve…

历史与综述 · 数学 2024-05-03 Aashrit Cunchala

Brownian motion is a ubiquitous physical phenomenon across the sciences. After its discovery by Brown and intensive study since the first half of the 20th century, many different aspects of Brownian motion and stochastic processes in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-01-29 Ralf Metzler

We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Javier Villarroel

An innovative extension of Geometric Brownian Motion model is developed by incorporating a weighting factor and a stochastic function modelled as a mixture of power and trigonometric functions. Simulations based on this Modified Brownian…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-07-09 Gurjeet Dhesi , Muhammad Bilal Shakeel , Ling Xiao

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

This paper presents a novel approach to predicting stock prices using technical analysis. By utilizing Ito's lemma and Euler-Maruyama methods, the researchers develop Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion models that take into account…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-16 H. T. Shehzad , M. A. Anwar , M. Razzaq

We describe in detail the history of Brownian motion, as well as the contributions of Einstein, Sutherland, Smoluchowski, Bachelier, Perrin and Langevin to its theory. The always topical importance in physics of the theory of Brownian…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-09-08 Bertrand Duplantier

Stochastic integration w.r.t. fractional Brownian motion (fBm) has raised strong interest in recent years, motivated in particular by applications in finance and Internet traffic modelling. Since fBm is not a semi-martingale, stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-03 Joachim Lebovits

One century after Einstein's work, Brownian Motion still remains both a fundamental open issue and a continous source of inspiration for many areas of natural sciences. We first present a discussion about stochastic and deterministic…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Fabio Cecconi , Massimo Cencini , Massimo Falcioni , Angelo Vulpiani

We briefly review the problem of Brownian motion and describe some intriguing facets. The problem is first treated in its original form as enunciated by Einstein, Langevin, and others. Then, utilizing the problem of Brownian motion as a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-02-17 Sushanta Dattagupta , Aritra Ghosh

The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) extends the standard Brownian motion by introducing some dependence between non-overlapping increments. Consequently, if one considers for example that log-prices follow an fBm, one can exploit the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-02 Matthieu Garcin

Since Bachelier's thesis in 1900 (laying the foundation of the stochastic process, or Brownian motion, as a model of stock price changes), attempts at understanding the nature of prices and at predicting them have failed. Statistical…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-10 Wally Tzara

We consider an investor who is dynamically informed about the future evolution of one of the independent Brownian motions driving a stock's price fluctuations. With linear temporary price impact the resulting optimal investment problem with…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-12-13 Peter Bank , Yan Dolinsky

This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos Martínez

In this paper, we consider the drawdown and drawup of the fractional Brownian motion with trend, which corresponds to the logarithm of geometric fractional Brownian motion representing the stock price in financial market. We derive the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-01 Long Bai , Peng Liu

We use the expectation of the range of an arithmetic Brownian motion and the method of moments on the daily high, low, opening and closing prices to estimate the volatility of the stock price. The daily price jump at the opening is…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-12-21 Cristin Buescu , Michael Taksar , Fatoumata J. Koné

This paper begins by giving an historical context to fractional Brownian Motion and its development. Section 2 then introduces the fractional calculus, from the Riemann-Liouville perspective. In Section 3, we introduce Brownian motion and…

概率论 · 数学 2014-01-14 Benjamin McGonegal

This is a guide to the mathematical theory of Brownian motion and related stochastic processes, with indications of how this theory is related to other branches of mathematics, most notably the classical theory of partial differential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-28 Jim Pitman , Marc Yor

In this article we explore the phenomena of nonequilibrium stochastic process starting from the phenomenological Brownian motion. The essential points are described in terms of Einstein's theory of Brownian motion and then the theory…

物理教育 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Deb Shankar Ray
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