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This paper develops a dynamic equilibrium model where agents exhibit a strong form of belief heterogeneity: they disagree about zero probability events. It is shown that, somewhat surprisingly, equilibrium exists in this setting, and that…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-06-24 Martin Larsson

The price-bubble and crash process formation is theoretically investigated in a two-asset equilibrium model. Sufficient and necessary conditions are derived for the existence of average equilibrium price dynamics of different agent-based…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-09-06 Francesco Cordoni

Considering a simple economy, we derive a new Hamilton-Jacobi equation which is satisfied by the value of a ''bubble'' asset. We then show, by providing a rigorous mathematical analysis of this equation, that a unique non-zero stable…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-05-22 Charles Bertucci , Jean-Michel Lasry , Pierre Louis Lions

This paper studies the equilibrium price of an asset that is traded in continuous time between N agents who have heterogeneous beliefs about the state process underlying the asset's payoff. We propose a tractable model where agents maximize…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-03-26 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz , Xiaowei Tan

In this study, we investigate asset price bubbles in a discrete-time, discrete-state market under model uncertainty and short sales prohibitions. Building on a new fundamental theorem of asset pricing and a superhedging duality in this…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-25 Wenqing Zhang

We study the formation of derivative prices in equilibrium between risk-neutral agents with heterogeneous beliefs about the dynamics of the underlying. Under the condition that the derivative cannot be shorted, we prove the existence of a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-01-04 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz

We propose a continuous-time model of trading with heterogeneous beliefs. Risk-neutral agents face quadratic costs-of-carry on positions and thus their marginal valuations decrease with the size of their position, as it would be the case…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-31 Marcel Nutz , José A. Scheinkman

We present a dynamical theory of asset price bubbles that exhibits the appearance of bubbles and their subsequent crashes. We show that when speculative trends dominate over fundamental beliefs, bubbles form, leading to the growth of asset…

adap-org · 物理学 2008-02-03 Michael Youssefmir , Bernardo Huberman , Tad Hogg

This paper proposes a theory of stock market predictability patterns based on a model of heterogeneous beliefs. In a discrete finite time framework, some agents receive news about an asset's fundamental value through a noisy signal. The…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-06-13 Jiho Park

We propose two rational expectation models of transient financial bubbles with heterogeneous arbitrageurs and positive feedbacks leading to self-reinforcing transient stochastic faster-than-exponential price dynamics. As a result of the…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-11 Li Lin , Didier Sornette

This article provides a self-contained overview of the theory of rational asset price bubbles. We cover topics from basic definitions, properties, and classical results to frontier research, with an emphasis on bubbles attached to real…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-05 Tomohiro Hirano , Alexis Akira Toda

We consider a simple stochastic differential equation for modeling bubbles in social context. A prime example is bubbles in asset pricing, but similar mechanisms may control a range of social phenomena driven by psychological factors (for…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-09-03 Alexander Kiselev , Lenya Ryzhik

We study an overlapping generations (OLG) exchange economy with an asset that yields dividends. First, we derive general conditions, based on exogenous parameters, that give rise to three distinct scenarios: (1) only bubbleless equilibria…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-03 Stefano Bosi , Cuong Le Van , Ngoc-Sang Pham

Asset price bubbles are situations where asset prices exceed the fundamental values defined by the present value of dividends. This paper presents a conceptually new perspective: the necessity of bubbles. We establish the Bubble Necessity…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-12 Tomohiro Hirano , Alexis Akira Toda

A rational bubble is a situation in which the asset price exceeds its fundamental value defined by the present discounted value of dividends in a rational equilibrium model. We discuss the recent development of the theory of rational…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-03 Tomohiro Hirano , Alexis Akira Toda

In an incomplete semimartingale model of a financial market, we consider several risk-averse financial agents who negotiate the price of a bundle of contingent claims. Assuming that the agents' risk preferences are modelled by convex…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2009-01-22 Michail Anthropelos , Gordan Zitkovic

In this paper we study the evolution of asset price bubbles driven by contagion effects spreading among investors via a random matching mechanism in a discrete-time version of the liquidity based model of [25]. To this scope, we extend the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-03 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Katharina Oberpriller

We study asset price bubbles in market models with proportional transaction costs $\lambda\in (0,1)$ and finite time horizon $T$ in the setting of [49]. By following [28], we define the fundamental value $F$ of a risky asset $S$ as the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-12-09 Francesca Biagini , Thomas Reitsam

We obtain an exact necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium asset prices in infinite horizon, discrete-time, arbitrage free environments. Through several applications we show how the condition…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-01 Jaroslav Borovicka , John Stachurski

We show that infinite divisibility of a trading commodity leads to a self-sustained price bubble when traders use adaptive investment strategies. The adaptive strategy can be viewed as a psychological response of a trader to the situation…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-01-01 Misha Perepelitsa , Ilya Timofeyev
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