English

A Risk-Neutral Equilibrium Leading to Uncertain Volatility Pricing

Mathematical Finance 2018-01-04 v2 Optimization and Control

Abstract

We study the formation of derivative prices in equilibrium between risk-neutral agents with heterogeneous beliefs about the dynamics of the underlying. Under the condition that the derivative cannot be shorted, we prove the existence of a unique equilibrium price and show that it incorporates the speculative value of possibly reselling the derivative. This value typically leads to a bubble; that is, the price exceeds the autonomous valuation of any given agent. Mathematically, the equilibrium price operator is of the same nonlinear form that is obtained in single-agent settings with strong aversion against model uncertainty. Thus, our equilibrium leads to a novel interpretation of this price.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1612.09152,
  title  = {A Risk-Neutral Equilibrium Leading to Uncertain Volatility Pricing},
  author = {Johannes Muhle-Karbe and Marcel Nutz},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1612.09152},
  year   = {2018}
}

Comments

Forthcoming in 'Finance&Stochastics'

R2 v1 2026-06-22T17:36:49.593Z