A Risk-Neutral Equilibrium Leading to Uncertain Volatility Pricing
Mathematical Finance
2018-01-04 v2 Optimization and Control
Abstract
We study the formation of derivative prices in equilibrium between risk-neutral agents with heterogeneous beliefs about the dynamics of the underlying. Under the condition that the derivative cannot be shorted, we prove the existence of a unique equilibrium price and show that it incorporates the speculative value of possibly reselling the derivative. This value typically leads to a bubble; that is, the price exceeds the autonomous valuation of any given agent. Mathematically, the equilibrium price operator is of the same nonlinear form that is obtained in single-agent settings with strong aversion against model uncertainty. Thus, our equilibrium leads to a novel interpretation of this price.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1612.09152,
title = {A Risk-Neutral Equilibrium Leading to Uncertain Volatility Pricing},
author = {Johannes Muhle-Karbe and Marcel Nutz},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1612.09152},
year = {2018}
}
Comments
Forthcoming in 'Finance&Stochastics'