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We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

It is known that the distribution of nonreversible Markov processes breaking the detailed balance condition converges faster to the stationary distribution compared to reversible processes having the same stationary distribution. This is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-06-30 Francesco Coghi , Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

Spatio-temporal modelling is an increasingly popular topic in Statistics. Our paper contributes to this line of research by developing the theory, simulation and inference for a spatio-temporal Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We conduct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We have shown recently that a Markov process conditioned on rare events involving time-integrated random variables can be described in the long-time limit by an effective Markov process, called the driven process, which is given…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-12-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model is a stochastic volatility model where the volatility process is a polynomial function of degree five of a single Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with fast mean reversion and large vol-of-vol. The…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Camille Illand , Shaun , Li

We conduct a preliminary analysis of a pairs trading strategy using the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process to model stock price spreads. We compare this approach to a naive pairs trading strategy that uses a rolling window to calculate mean…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-12-18 Jirat Suchato , Sean Wiryadi , Danran Chen , Ava Zhao , Michael Yue

These notes give a summary of techniques used in large deviation theory to study the fluctuations of time-additive quantities, called dynamical observables, defined in the context of Langevin-type equations, which model equilibrium and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-12-29 Hugo Touchette

The paper provides an overview of the theory and applications of risk-sensitive Markov decision processes. The term 'risk-sensitive' refers here to the use of the Optimized Certainty Equivalent as a means to measure expectation and risk.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz

We consider the problem of option pricing under stochastic volatility models, focusing on the linear approximation of the two processes known as exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Stein-Stein. Indeed, we show they admit the same limit…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-11-23 Giacomo Bormetti , Valentina Cazzola , Danilo Delpini

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process may be used to generate a noise signal with a finite correlation time. If a one-dimensional stochastic process is driven by such a noise source, it may be analysed by solving a Fokker-Planck equation in two…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-14 Michael Wilkinson

This paper focuses on rate-limited control of the generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process where the control action can be either multiplicative or additive, and the noise variance can depend on the control action. We derive a lower bound on…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-27 Yorie Nakahira , Fangzhou Xiao , Victoria Kostina , John C. Doyle

The purpose of this article is to derive the crossover from the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to energy solutions of the stochastic Burgers equation with characteristic operators given in terms of fractional operators, such as the regional…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-16 Pedro Cardoso , Patrícia Gonçalves

We give a representation of the solution for a stochastic linear equation of the form $X_t=Y_t+\int_{(0,t]}X_{s-} \mathrm {d}{Z}_s$ where $Z$ is a c\'adl\'ag semimartingale and $Y$ is a c\'adl\'ag adapted process with bounded variation on…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-09 Offer Kella , Marc Yor

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

We consider Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes (OU-processes) associated to hypoelliptic diffusion processes on finite-dimensional Lie groups: let $ \mathcal{L} $ be a hypoelliptic, left-invariant ``sum of the squares''-operator on a Lie group $…

概率论 · 数学 2008-05-12 Fabrice Baudoin , Martin Hairer , Josef Teichmann

We study the stationary fluctuations of independent run-and-tumble particles. We prove that the joint densities of particles with given internal state converges to an infinite dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We also consider an…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-13 Frank Redig , Hidde van Wiechen

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider the Black--Scholes model of financial market modified to capture the stochastic nature of volatility observed at real financial markets. For volatility driven by the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process, we establish the existence of…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-10-08 Sergii Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Yuliya Mishura

In this paper the feasibility of funnel control techniques for the Fokker-Planck equation corresponding to a multi-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on an unbounded spatial domain is explored. First, using weighted Lebesgue and Sobolev…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-04-15 Thomas Berger