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相关论文: Containing COVID-19 outbreaks using a Firewall

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The dynamics of infection spread in populations has received popular attention since the outbreak of Covid-19 and many statistical models have been developed. One of the interesting areas of research is short-time dynamics in confined,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Rahul Sheshanarayana , Prateek K. Jha

Epidemiological models are an important tool in coping with epidemics, as they offer a forecast, even if often simplistic, of the behavior of the disease in the population. This allows responsible health agencies to organize themselves and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-08-03 Eliza Maria Ferreira , Ricardo Edem Ferreira , Chiara Mocenni

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

In response to the worldwide outbreak of the coronavirus disease COVID-19, a variety of nonpharmaceutical interventions such as face masks and social distancing have been implemented. A careful assessment of the effects of such containment…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-05-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

It is well recognized that population heterogeneity plays an important role in the spread of epidemics. While individual variations in social activity are often assumed to be persistent, i.e. constant in time, here we discuss the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-22 Alexei V. Tkachenko , Sergei Maslov , Tong Wang , Ahmed Elbanna , George N. Wong , Nigel Goldenfeld

The spread of COVID-19 has been thwarted in most countries through non-pharmaceutical interventions. In particular, the most effective measures in this direction have been the stay-at-home and closure strategies of businesses and schools.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-05-04 G. Dimarco , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

The infectious diseases are spreading due to human interactions enabled by various social networks. Therefore, when a new pathogen such as SARS-CoV-2 causes an outbreak, the non-pharmaceutical isolation strategies (e.g., social distancing)…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-20 Alexandru Topirceanu , Mihai Udrescu , Radu Marculescu

During outbreaks of serious infectious diseases many individuals closely follow media reports of the outbreak and take steps, including self-isolation, to protect themselves from infection and possibly death. Self-isolation can take many…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2011-03-22 Anna Mummert , Howard Weiss

This work is inspired by the outbreak of COVID-19, and some of the challenges we have observed with gathering data about the disease. To this end, we aim to help collect data about citizens and the disease without risking the privacy of…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-05-01 Katrine Tjell , Jaron Skovsted Gundersen , Rafael Wisniewski

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 spreading, the number of studies on the epidemic models increased dramatically. It is important for policymakers to know how the disease will spread and what are the effects of the policies and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-01-06 Hao Liao , Ziqiang Wu , Alexandre Vidmer , Mingyang Zhou , Wei Chen

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

The aim of the paper is to describe a model of the development of the Covid-19 contamination of the population of a country or a region. For this purpose a special branching process with two types of individuals is considered. This model is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-03 Nikolay M. Yanev , Vessela K. Stoimenova , Dimitar V. Atanasov

In the wake of the pandemic, the inadequacy of urban sidewalks to comply with social distancing remains untackled in academy. Beyond isolated efforts (from sidewalk widenings to car-free Open Streets), there is a need for a large-scale and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-29 Daniel Rhoads , Albert Solé-Ribalta , Marta C. González , Javier Borge-Holthoefer

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

We demonstrate that the epidemic renormalisation group approach to pandemics provides an effective and simple way to investigate the dynamics of disease transmission and spreading across different regions of the world. The framework also…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-12 Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Francesco Sannino

We analyze an epidemic model on a network consisting of susceptible-infected-recovered equations at the nodes coupled by diffusion using a graph Laplacian. We introduce an epidemic criterion and examine different vaccination/containment…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-25 F. Bustamante-Castaneda , J. -G. Caputo , G. Cruz-Pacheco , A. Knippel , F. Mouatamide

By the end of July 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic had infected more than seventeen million people and had spread to almost all countries worldwide. In response, many countries all over the world have used different methods to reduce the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-21 Hilla De-Leon , Francesco Pederiva

The infectious coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a serious global pandemic. Different studies have shown that increasing temperature can play a crucial role in the spread of the virus. Most of these studies were limited to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-23 Fadhah Amer Alanazi

The current situation of COVID-19 demands novel solutions to boost healthcare services and economic growth. A full-fledged solution that can help the government and people retain their normal lifestyle and improve the economy is crucial. By…

Background: Without proven effect treatments and vaccines, Social Distancing is the key protection factor against COVID-19. Social distancing alone should have been enough to protect again the virus, yet things have gone very differently,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-27 Massimo Marchiori