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Leveraging external or historical data to improve the efficiency of randomized clinical trials without introducing bias or inflating the Type I error rate remains challenging. Recent work on externally trained prognostic scores, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Junyi Zhou , Qing Liu , May Mo , Amy Xia

Background: Subgroup analyses are frequently conducted in randomized clinical trials to assess evidence of heterogeneous treatment effect across patient subpopulations. Although randomization balances covariates within subgroups in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-27 Siyun Yang , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

Multivariate outcomes are common in pragmatic cluster randomized trials. While sample size calculation procedures for multivariate outcomes exist under parallel assignment, none have been developed for a stepped wedge design. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-05 Kendra Davis-Plourde , Monica Taljaard , Fan Li

Certifying neural network robustness against adversarial examples is challenging, as formal guarantees often require solving non-convex problems. Hence, incomplete verifiers are widely used because they scale efficiently and substantially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Mohammadreza Maleki , Rushendra Sidibomma , Arman Adibi , Reza Samavi

This paper considers inference when there is a single treated cluster and a fixed number of control clusters, a setting that is common in empirical work, especially in difference-in-differences designs. We use the t-statistic and develop…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Chun Pong Lau , Xinran Li

The analysis of multiple time-to-event outcomes in a randomised controlled clinical trial can be accomplished with exisiting methods. However, depending on the characteristics of the disease under investigation and the circumstances in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Andreas Faldum , Thorsten Simon , Barbara Hero , Rene Schmidt

We propose a two-stage design for a clinical trial with an early stopping rule for safety. We use different criteria to assess early stopping and efficacy. The early stopping rule is based on a criteria that can be determined more quickly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-07-25 Daniel Zelterman

Model comparison is the cornerstone of theoretical progress in psychological research. Common practice overwhelmingly relies on tools that evaluate competing models by balancing in-sample descriptive adequacy against model flexibility, with…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Viet-Hung Dao , David Gunawan , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn , Guy E. Hawkins , Scott D. Brown

This paper proposes a safety analysis method that facilitates a tunable balance between the worst-case and risk-neutral perspectives. First, we define a risk-sensitive safe set to specify the degree of safety attained by a stochastic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-28 Margaret P. Chapman , Jonathan P. Lacotte , Kevin M. Smith , Insoon Yang , Yuxi Han , Marco Pavone , Claire J. Tomlin

Many phase II clinical trials have used survival outcomes as the primary endpoints in recent decades. Suppose the radiotherapy is evaluated in a phase II trial using survival outcomes. In that case, the competing risk issue often arises…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-15 Jina Park , Wenjing Hu , Ick Hoon Jin , Hao Liu , Yong Zang

In epidemiological cohort studies, the relative risk (also known as risk ratio) is a major measure of association to summarize the results of two treatments or exposures. Generally, it measures the relative change in disease risk as a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-05 Gopal Nath , Krishna K. Saha , Suojin Wang

It is crucial to assess the predictive performance of a model to establish its practicality and relevance in real-world scenarios, particularly for high-dimensional data analysis. Among data splitting or resampling methods, cross-validation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Iris Ivy Gauran , Hernando Ombao , Zhaoxia Yu

An important issue in joint modelling for outcomes and longitudinal risk factors in cohort studies is to have an accurate assessment of events. Events determined based on ICD-9 codes can be very inaccurate, in particular for cardiovascular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-25 Mirajul Islam , Michael J. Daniels , Donald Lloyd-Jones , Juned Siddique

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) cohorts collect data longitudinally to study the association between CVD risk factors and event times. An important area of scientific research is to better understand what features of CVD risk factor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-03 Mirajul Islam , Michael J. Daniels , Zeynab Aghabazaz , Juned Siddique

Increasingly, medical research is dependent on data collected for non-research purposes, such as electronic health records data (EHR). EHR data and other large databases can be prone to measurement error in key exposures, and unadjusted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-13 Kyunghee Han , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw

Cluster randomized trials are widely used when individual randomization is logistically infeasible or when correlations between observations cannot be ignored, especially in fields such as ophthalmology, infectious disease, vaccine…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-04 Wanying Shao , Toshimitsu Hamasaki , Scott Evans , Guoqing Diao

Multivariable Mendelian Randomization (MVMR) estimates the direct causal effects of multiple risk factors on an outcome using genetic variants as instruments. The growing availability of summary-level genetic data has created opportunities…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Yinxiang Wu , Neil M. Davies , Ting Ye

Finding patient subgroups with similar characteristics is crucial for personalized decision-making in various disciplines such as healthcare and policy evaluation. While most existing approaches rely on unsupervised clustering methods,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-06 Luwei Wang , Nazir Lone , Sohan Seth

In this paper we explore different regression models based on Clusterwise Linear Regression (CLR). CLR aims to find the partition of the data into $k$ clusters, such that linear regressions fitted to each of the clusters minimize overall…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-01 Igor Gitman , Jieshi Chen , Eric Lei , Artur Dubrawski

We consider the design of a two-arm superiority cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT) with a continuous outcome. We detail Bayesian inference for the analysis of the trial using a linear mixed-effects model. The treatment is compared to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-29 Kevin J Wilson