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Causal classification models are adopted across a variety of operational business processes to predict the effect of a treatment on a categorical business outcome of interest depending on the process instance characteristics. This allows…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-06 Diego Olaya , Wouter Verbeke , Jente Van Belle , Marie-Anne Guerry

Propensity score weighting approaches have been widely implemented in clinical research to estimate the effects of a treatment or exposure while mitigating the risk of confounding in the absence of random assignment. In practice, when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-17 Emma K. Mackay , Amol A. Verma , Fahad Razak , Surain B. Roberts

We consider the problem of identifying sub-groups of participants in a clinical trial that have enhanced treatment effect. Recursive partitioning methods that recursively partition the covariate space based on some measure of between groups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-22 Jon Arni Steingrimsson , Jiabei Yang

Cluster-weighted factor analyzers (CWFA) are a versatile class of mixture models designed to estimate the joint distribution of a random vector that includes a response variable along with a set of explanatory variables. They are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-07 Xiaoke Qin , Francesca Martella , Sanjeena Subedi

In the task of comparing two classification algorithms, the widely-used McNemar's test aims to infer the presence of a significant difference between the error rates of the two classification algorithms. However, the power of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Jing Yang , Ruibo Wang , Yijun Song , Jihong Li

Hierarchical composite endpoints, such as those analyzed using the Finkelstein-Schoenfeld (FS) statistic, are increasingly used in clinical trials for their ability to incorporate clinically prioritized outcomes. However, adaptive design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Krishna Padmanabhan , Cyrus Mehta

Risk scores are an interpretable and actionable class of machine learning models with applications in medicine, insurance, and risk management. Unlike most computational methods, risk scores are designed to be computed by a human by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Costa Georgantas , Jonas Richiardi

Clinical trial simulation (CTS) is critical in new drug development, providing insight into safety and efficacy while guiding trial design. Achieving realistic outcomes in CTS requires an accurately estimated joint distribution of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-08 Longwen Shang , Min Tsao , Xuekui Zhang

Prior to clinical applications, it is critical that risk prediction models are evaluated in independent studies that did not contribute to model development. While prospective cohort studies provide a natural setting for model validation,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Parichoy Pal Choudhury , Anil K. Chaturvedi , Nilanjan Chatterjee

Conformal risk control (CRC) is a recently proposed technique that applies post-hoc to a conventional point predictor to provide calibration guarantees. Generalizing conformal prediction (CP), with CRC, calibration is ensured for a set…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-02 Kfir M. Cohen , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Shlomo Shamai

We propose a monitoring strategy for efficient and robust estimation of disease prevalence and case numbers within closed and enumerated populations such as schools, workplaces, or retirement communities. The proposed design relies largely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Robert H. Lyles , Yuzi Zhang , Lin Ge , Lance A. Waller

Numerous publications have now addressed the principles of designing, analyzing, and reporting the results of, stepped-wedge cluster randomized trials. In contrast, there is little research available pertaining to the design and analysis of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-29 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

We study a first-order primal-dual subgradient method to optimize risk-constrained risk-penalized optimization problems, where risk is modeled via the popular conditional value at risk (CVaR) measure. The algorithm processes independent and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-03 Avinash N. Madavan , Subhonmesh Bose

The use of drug combinations in clinical trials is increasingly common during the last years since a more favorable therapeutic response may be obtained by combining drugs. In phase I clinical trials, most of the existing methodology…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-17 José L. Jiménez , Sungjin Kim , Mourad Tighiouart

Stepped wedge cluster-randomized trial (CRTs) designs randomize clusters of individuals to intervention sequences, ensuring that every cluster eventually transitions from a control period to receive the intervention under study by the end…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-19 Alessandro Gasparini , Michael J. Crowther , Emiel O. Hoogendijk , Fan Li , Michael O. Harhay

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is critical in domains such as personalized medicine, resource allocation, and policy evaluation. A central challenge lies in identifying subpopulations that respond differently to interventions,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-18 Zilong Wang , Turgay Ayer , Shihao Yang

Matching in causal inference from observational data aims to construct treatment and control groups with similar distributions of covariates, thereby reducing confounding and ensuring an unbiased estimation of treatment effects. This…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Sahil Shikalgar , Md. Noor-E-Alam

We developed a study design for rare disease clinical trials (RDTs) that efficiently evaluate treatments, promotes access to new treatments during treatment development, and optimizes healthcare resource utilization for future treatment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-04 Jian Yong , Sohaib H. Mohammad , Yan Yuan

The process of manually searching for relevant instances in, and extracting information from, clinical databases underpin a multitude of clinical tasks. Such tasks include disease diagnosis, clinical trial recruitment, and continuing…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-05 Dani Kiyasseh , Tingting Zhu , David A. Clifton

Objective: In this paper, we develop a personalized real-time risk scoring algorithm that provides timely and granular assessments for the clinical acuity of ward patients based on their (temporal) lab tests and vital signs; the proposed…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-10-28 Ahmed M. Alaa , Jinsung Yoon , Scott Hu , Mihaela van der Schaar