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相关论文: Bounding the expectation of the supremum of empiri…

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We establish an excess risk bound of O(H R_n^2 + R_n \sqrt{H L*}) for empirical risk minimization with an H-smooth loss function and a hypothesis class with Rademacher complexity R_n, where L* is the best risk achievable by the hypothesis…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-11-27 Nathan Srebro , Karthik Sridharan , Ambuj Tewari

We are interested in the problem of robust parametric estimation of a density from $n$ i.i.d. observations. By using a practice-oriented procedure based on robust tests, we build an estimator for which we establish non-asymptotic risk…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-31 Mathieu Sart

Quantifying differences between probability distributions is fundamental to statistics and machine learning, primarily for comparing statistical uncertainty. In contrast, epistemic uncertainty -- due to incomplete knowledge -- requires…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Siu Lun Chau , Michele Caprio , Krikamol Muandet

We study the problem of estimating the score function of an unknown probability distribution $\rho^*$ from $n$ independent and identically distributed observations in $d$ dimensions. Assuming that $\rho^*$ is subgaussian and has a…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-13 Andre Wibisono , Yihong Wu , Kaylee Yingxi Yang

We study interpolation inequalities between H\"older Integral Probability Metrics (IPMs) in the case where the measures have densities on closed submanifolds. Precisely, it is shown that if two probability measures $\mu$ and $\mu^\star$…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-21 Arthur Stéphanovitch

We investigate the high-probability estimation of discrete distributions from an \iid sample under $\chi^2$-divergence loss. Although the minimax risk in expectation is well understood, its high-probability counterpart remains largely…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-30 Sirine Louati

In this paper, we propose a distributionally robust safety verification method for Markov decision processes where only an ambiguous transition kernel is available instead of the precise transition kernel. We define the ambiguity set around…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-27 Abhijit Mazumdar , Yuting Hou , Rafal Wisniewski

We study the supremum of some random Dirichlet polynomials and obtain sharp upper and lower bounds for supremum expectation that extend the optimal estimate of Hal\'asz-Queff\'elec and enable to cunstruct random polynomials with unusually…

概率论 · 数学 2008-02-01 Mikhail Lifshits , Michel Weber

We study learning of probability distributions characterized by an unknown symmetry direction. Based on an entropic performance measure and the variational method of statistical mechanics we develop exact upper and lower bounds on the…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-07 D. Herschkowitz , M. Opper

We present a method for estimating the edge of a two-dimensional bounded set, given a finite random set of points drawn from the interior. The estimator is based both on a Parzen-Rosenblatt kernel and extreme values of point processes. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-03-31 Stéphane Girard , Pierre Jacob

We derive strong approximations to the supremum of the non-centered empirical process indexed by a possibly unbounded VC-type class of functions by the suprema of the Gaussian and bootstrap processes. The bounds of these approximations are…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the strong approximation of the integrated empirical process. More precisely, we obtain the exact rate of the approximations by a sequence of weighted Brownian bridges and a weighted Kiefer…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-21 Sergio Alvarez-Andrade , Salim Bouzebda , Aimé Lachal

We consider finite horizon reach-avoid problems for discrete time stochastic systems. Our goal is to construct upper bound functions for the reach-avoid probability by means of tractable convex optimization problems. We achieve this by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-06-11 Nikolaos Kariotoglou , Maryam Kamgarpour , Tyler H. Summers , John Lygeros

We consider the convergence of empirical processes indexed by functions that depend on an estimated parameter $\eta$ and give several alternative conditions under which the ``estimated parameter'' $\eta_n$ can be replaced by its natural…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-09-12 Aad W. van der Vaart , Jon A. Wellner

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

The empirical distribution function assigns mass $1/n$ to each of the $n$ observations in a sample. As these are highly variable, estimation error may be reduced by replacing them with estimated observations that are asymptotically less…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Tommaso Lando , Lorenzo Tedesco

The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is of key importance for inference in latent variable models including mixture of regressors and experts, missing observations. This paper introduces a novel EM algorithm, called…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-04 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ together with a sequence of independent, identically distributed $X$-space valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$ and give a good estimate on the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-07 Peter Major

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

This paper develops a new direct approach to approximating suprema of general empirical processes by a sequence of suprema of Gaussian processes, without taking the route of approximating whole empirical processes in the sup-norm. We prove…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-19 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato