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We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

We consider the problem of asymptotically efficient estimation of drift parameters of the ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process under continuous observations when the Hurst parameter $H<1/2$ and the mean of its stationary…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-12 Kohei Chiba , Tetsuya Takabatake

We study the asymptotic properties of an estimator of Hurst parameter of a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with $H > 1/2$. Utilizing the theory of asymptotic expansion of Skorohod integrals introduced…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-03 Hayate Yamagishi

Suppose we observe a geometrically ergodic semi-Markov process and have a parametric model for the transition distribution of the embedded Markov chain, for the conditional distribution of the inter-arrival times, or for both. The first two…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-12-21 Ursula U. Müller , Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

Let the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $(X_t)_{t\ge0}$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion $B^{H }$, described by $dX_t = -\theta X_t dt + \sigma dB_t^{H }$ be observed at discrete time instants $t_k=kh$, $k=0, 1, 2, \cdots, 2n+2 $. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-13 El Mehdi Haress , Yaozhong Hu

We construct the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the unknown drift parameter $\theta\in \mathbb{R}$ in the linear model $X_t=\theta t+\sigma B^{H_1}(t)+B^{H_2}(t),\;t\in[0,T],$ where $B^{H_1}$ and $B^{H_2}$ are two independent…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-16 Yuliya Mishura

The statistical analysis for equations driven by fractional Gaussian process (fGp) is relatively recent. The development of stochastic calculus with respect to the fGp allowed to study such models. In the present paper we consider the drift…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-28 Mohamed El Machkouri , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a non-ergodic Gaussian Vasicek-type model defined as $dX_t=(\mu+\theta X_t)dt+dG_t,\ t\geq0$ with unknown parameters $\theta>0$ and $\mu\in\mathbb{R}$, where $G$ is a Gaussian process. We…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-12 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Mohammed Es. Sebaiy

We apply the techniques of stochastic integration with respect to fractional Brownian motion and the theory of regularity and supremum estimation for stochastic processes to study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the drift…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-22 Ciprian A. Tudor , Frederi G. Viens

We study parameter estimation problem for diagonalizable stochastic partial differential equations driven by a multiplicative fractional noise with any Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Two classes of estimators are investigated: traditional…

概率论 · 数学 2010-05-27 Igor Cialenco

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}$ of the process $X$ satisfying $dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t$, with $V_t$ a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion $B$. For both the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-12-25 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

Given a fractional Brownian motion \,\,$(B_{t}^{H})_{t\geq 0}$,\, with Hurst parameter \,$> 1/2$\,\,we study the properties of all solutions of \,\,: {equation} X_{t}=B_{t}^{H}+\int_0^t X_{u}d\mu(u), \;\; 0\leq t\leq 1{equation} A different…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-20 Mamadou Abdoul Diop , Youssef Ouknine

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of linear multiplier function $\theta t)$ for processes satisfying stochastic differential equations of the type $dX_t=\theta(t)X_tdt+\epsilond\bar W_t^H, X_0=x_0, 0\leq t \leq T$ where…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-25 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

A Markov-switching observation-driven model is a stochastic process $((S_t,Y_t))_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ where $(S_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an unobserved Markov chain on a finite set and $(Y_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an observed stochastic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-30 Frederik Krabbe

We consider a problem of statistical estimation of an unknown drift parameter for a stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Two estimators based on discrete observations of solution to the stochastic…

We study the statistical inference problem for a complex $\alpha$-fractional Brownian bridge process $Z$ defined by the stochastic differential equation \[ \mathrm{d}Z_t = -\alpha \frac{Z_t}{T - t} \mathrm{d}t + \mathrm{d}\zeta_t, \quad t…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Yong Chen , Lin Fang , Ying Li , Hongjuan Zhou

Consider a periodic, mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X=\{X_t,t\geq0\}$ of the form $d X_{t}=\left(L(t)+\alpha X_{t}\right) d t+ dB^H_{t}, \quad t \geq 0$, where $L(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{p}\mu_i\phi_i (t)$ is a periodic parametric…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-02 Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Fatima-Ezzahra Farah