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In this paper we study the central limit theorem for additive functionals of stationary Markov chains with general state space by using a new idea involving conditioning with respect to both the past and future of the chain. Practically, we…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Magda Peligrad

Estimating the transition dynamics of controlled Markov chains is crucial in fields such as time series analysis, reinforcement learning, and system exploration. Traditional non-parametric density estimation methods often assume independent…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-21 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak Rao , Harsha Honnappa

We consider two types of discrete-time Markov chains where the state space is a graded poset and the transitions are taken along the covering relations in the poset. The first type of Markov chain goes only in one direction, either up or…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-06 Kimmo Eriksson , Markus Jonsson , Jonas Sjöstrand

We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

A time-dependent finite-state Markov chain that uses doubly stochastic transition matrices, is considered. Entropic quantities that describe the randomness of the probability vectors, and also the randomness of the discrete paths, are…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-03-18 A. Vourdas

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic homogeneous Markov chains are studied. In comparison to the earlier papers the setting is also generalised to the case without a unique dominated measure. Examples are provided where the new bound…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-02 Alexander Veretennikov , Maria Veretennikova

Necessary and sufficient conditions for a Markov chain to be ergodic are that the chain is irreducible and aperiodic. This result is manifest in the case of random walks on finite groups by a statement about the support of the driving…

量子代数 · 数学 2021-10-22 J. P. McCarthy

Establishing cutoff, an abrupt transition from "not mixed" to "well mixed", is a classical topic in the theory of mixing times for Markov chains. Interest has grown recently in determining not only the existence of cutoff and the order of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-11 Evita Nestoridi , Sam Olesker-Taylor

In this brief note, we investigate some constructions of Lyapunov functions for stochastic discrete-time stabilizable dynamical systems, in other words, controlled Markov chains. The main question here is whether a Lyapunov function in some…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-01-01 Pavel Osinenko , Grigory Yaremenko

We analyze the notions of monotonicity and complete monotonicity for Markov Chains in continuous-time, taking values in a finite partially ordered set. Similarly to what happens in discrete-time, the two notions are not equivalent. However,…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Minelli

We show that any loop-free Markov chain on a discrete space can be viewed as a determinantal point process. As an application, we prove central limit theorems for the number of particles in a window for renewal processes and Markov renewal…

概率论 · 数学 2008-04-14 Alexei Borodin

Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which automatically tune their parameters based on past samples, have proved extremely useful in practice. The self-tuning mechanism makes them `non-Markovian', which means that their…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-28 Pietari Laitinen , Matti Vihola

It is known that state-dependent, multi-step Lyapunov bounds lead to greatly simplified verification theorems for stability for large classes of Markov chain models. This is one component of the "fluid model" approach to stability of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-05-18 Serdar Yüksel , Sean P. Meyn

We consider a finite state discrete time process X. Without loss of generality the finite state space can be identified with the set of unit vectors {e1, e2, . . . , eN} with ei = (0, . . . , 0, 1, 0, . . . , 0)0 2 RN. For a Markov chain…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-02 Robert J. Elliott

We introduce discrete time Markov chains that preserve uniform measures on boxed plane partitions. Elementary Markov steps change the size of the box from (a x b x c) to ((a-1) x (b+1) x c) or ((a+1) x (b-1) x c). Algorithmic realization of…

组合数学 · 数学 2011-08-19 Alexei Borodin , Vadim Gorin

Let X be a continuous-time Markov chain in a finite set I, let h be a mapping of I onto another set, and let Y be defined by Y_t=h(X_t), (for t nonnegative). We address the filtering problem for X in terms of the observation Y, which is not…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-07 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

We consider the recurrence and transience problem for a time-homogeneous Markov chain on the real line with transition kernel $p(x,\mathrm{d}y)=f_x(y-x)\,\mathrm{d}y$, where the density functions $f_x(y)$, for large $|y|$, have a power-law…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-19 Nikola Sandrić

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

Dealing with finite Markov chains in discrete time, the focus often lies on convergence behavior and one tries to make different copies of the chain meet as fast as possible and then stick together. There is, however, a very peculiar kind…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-15 Timo Hirscher , Anders Martinsson

We study an irreducible Markov chain on the category of finite abelian $p$-groups, whose stationary measure is the Cohen-Lenstra distribution. This Markov chain arises when one studies the cokernel of a random matrix $M$, after conditioning…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-14 Nikita Lvov