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This paper deals with the Monte-Carlo methods for evaluating expectations of functionals of solutions to McKean-Vlasov Stochastic Differential Equations (MV-SDE) with drifts of super-linear growth. We assume that the MV-SDE is approximated…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-15 Goncalo dos Reis , Greig Smith , Peter Tankov

A common way to simulate the transport and spread of pollutants in the atmosphere is via stochastic Lagrangian dispersion models. Mathematically, these models describe turbulent transport processes with stochastic differential equations…

This paper addresses optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. In particular, the robust control problem and the average control problem are considered for a tracking type cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-08 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

Multivariate normal (MVN) probabilities arise in myriad applications, but they are analytically intractable and need to be evaluated via Monte-Carlo-based numerical integration. For the state-of-the-art minimax exponential tilting (MET)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-28 Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC), especially the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, is a widely used technique for sampling from a target probability distribution $P$ on a state space $\Omega$ and applied to various problems such…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-03-13 Koichi Miyamoto

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for estimating integrals are attractive since the resulting estimators typically converge at a faster rate than pseudo-random Monte Carlo. However, they can be difficult to set up on arbitrary posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-03 Tobias Schwedes , Ben Calderhead

We construct improved quantum Monte Carlo estimators for the spherically- and system-averaged electron pair density (i.e. the probability density of finding two electrons separated by a relative distance u), also known as the…

化学物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Julien Toulouse , Roland Assaraf , C. J. Umrigar

This work introduces a novel multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) metamodeling approach for variance function estimation. Although devising an efficient experimental design for simulation metamodeling can be elusive, the MLMC-based approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Jingtao Zhang , Xi Chen

In this paper, we construct a type of interacting particle systems to approximate a class of stochastic different equations whose coefficients depend on the conditional probability distributions of the processes given partial observations.…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-27 Kai Du , Yunzhang Li , Yuyang Ye

Identifying important features linked to a response variable is a fundamental task in various scientific domains. This article explores statistical inference for simulated Markov random fields in high-dimensional settings. We introduce a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-23 Haoyu Wei , Xiaoyu Lei , Yixin Han , Huiming Zhang

Existence and local-uniqueness theorems for weak solutions of a system consisting of the drift-diffusion-Poisson equations and the Poisson-Boltzmann equation, all with stochastic coefficients, are presented. For the numerical approximation…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2017-04-05 Leila Taghizadeh , Amirreza Khodadadian , Clemens Heitzinger

It is of significant interest in many applications to sample from a high-dimensional target distribution $\pi$ with the density $\pi(\text{d} x) \propto e^{-U(x)} (\text{d} x) $, based on the temporal discretization of the Langevin…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-01-30 Chenxu Pang , Xiaojie Wang , Yue Wu

We investigate a weighted Multilevel Richardson-Romberg extrapolation for the ergodic approximation of invariant distributions of diffusions adapted from the one introduced in~[Lemaire-Pag\`es, 2013] for regular Monte Carlo simulation. In a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-05 Gilles Pagès , Fabien Panloup

Computational tools for characterizing electromagnetic scattering from objects with uncertain shapes are needed in various applications ranging from remote sensing at microwave frequencies to Raman spectroscopy at optical frequencies.…

Quantum Monte Carlo integration, a quantum algorithm for calculating expectations that provides a quadratic speed-up compared to its classical counterpart, is now attracting increasing interest in the context of its industrial and…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-01-16 Koichi Miyamoto

Accurate estimates of long-term risk probabilities and their gradients are critical for many stochastic safe control methods. However, computing such risk probabilities in real-time and in unseen or changing environments is challenging.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-20 Zhuoyuan Wang , Yorie Nakahira

We present a nonlinear (in the sense of McKean) generalization of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) termed nonlinear HMC (nHMC) capable of sampling from nonlinear probability measures of mean-field type. When the underlying confinement…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-22 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Katharina Schuh

We propose a novel Continuation Multi Level Monte Carlo (CMLMC) algorithm for weak approximation of stochastic models. The CMLMC algorithm solves the given approximation problem for a sequence of decreasing tolerances, ending when the…

Estimating latent epidemic states and model parameters from partially observed, noisy data remains a major challenge in infectious disease modeling. State-space formulations provide a coherent probabilistic framework for such inference, yet…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Dhorasso Temfack , Jason Wyse

Designing efficient learning algorithms with complexity guarantees for Markov decision processes (MDPs) with large or continuous state and action spaces remains a fundamental challenge. We address this challenge for entropy-regularized MDPs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-05 Matthieu Meunier , Christoph Reisinger , Yufei Zhang