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We study Bayesian inversion for a model elliptic PDE with unknown diffusion coefficient. We provide complexity analyses of several Markov Chain-Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the efficient numerical evaluation of expectations under the…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-05-01 Viet Ha Hoang , Christoph Schwab , Andrew M. Stuart

We design and implement a novel algorithm for computing a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator of the cumulative distribution function of a quantity of interest in problems with random input parameters or initial conditions. Our approach…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-08-26 Søren Taverniers , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

The estimation of the probability of rare events is an important task in reliability and risk assessment. We consider failure events that are expressed in terms of a limit state function, which depends on the solution of a partial…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-15 Fabian Wagner , Jonas Latz , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

We present an adaptive multilevel Monte Carlo (AMLMC) algorithm for approximating deterministic, real-valued, bounded linear functionals that depend on the solution of a linear elliptic PDE with a lognormal diffusivity coefficient and…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-12-07 Joakim Beck , Yang Liu , Erik von Schwerin , Raúl Tempone

This work describes a domain embedding technique between two non-matching meshes used for generating realizations of spatially correlated random fields with applications to large-scale sampling-based uncertainty quantification. The goal is…

Let ${\mathbb X}$ be a compact, connected, Riemannian manifold (without boundary), $\rho$ be the geodesic distance on ${\mathbb X}$, $\mu$ be a probability measure on ${\mathbb X}$, and $\{\phi_k\}$ be an orthonormal system of continuous…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2010-11-25 F. Filbir , H. N. Mhaskar

We propose and analyze a Multilevel Richardson-Romberg (MLRR) estimator which combines the higher order bias cancellation of the Multistep Richardson-Romberg method introduced in [Pa07] and the variance control resulting from the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès

We study the weak convergence behaviour of the Leimkuhler--Matthews method, a non-Markovian Euler-type scheme with the same computational cost as the Euler scheme, for the approximation of the stationary distribution of a one-dimensional…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-01-14 Xingyuan Chen , Goncalo dos Reis , Wolfgang Stockinger , Zac Wilde

We consider the problem of local radioelectric property estimation from global electromagnetic scattering measurements. This challenging ill-posed high dimensional inverse problem can be explored by intensive computations of a parallel…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-19 P. Minvielle , A. Todeschini , F. Caron , P. Del Moral

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, also known as particle filters, are simulation-based recursive algorithms for the approximation of the a posteriori probability measures generated by state-space dynamical models. At any given time $t$,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-24 Dan Crisan , Joaquín Míguez

The problem of sampling according to the probability distribution minimizing a given free energy, using interacting particles unadjusted kinetic Langevin Monte Carlo, is addressed. In this setting, three sources of error arise, related to…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-05 Pierre Monmarché , Katharina Schuh

We consider the efficient use of an approximation within Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), with subsequent importance sampling (IS) correction of the Markov chain inexact output, leading to asymptotically exact inference. We detail…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-15 Jordan Franks

We aim at analyzing in terms of a.s. convergence and weak rate the performances of the Multilevel Monte Carlo estimator (MLMC) introduced in [Gil08] and of its weighted version, the Multilevel Richardson Romberg estimator (ML2R), introduced…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-20 Daphné Giorgi , Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès

In this paper we consider the filtering of a class of partially observed piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). In particular, we assume that an ordinary differential equation (ODE) drives the deterministic element and can only…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Mohamed Maama

Uncertainty Quantification through Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be prohibitively expensive for target probability densities with expensive likelihood functions, for instance when the evaluation it involves solving a Partial…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-12-11 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Grigorios Mingas , Robert Scheichl , Colin Fox , Tim J. Dodwell

Inference after model selection presents computational challenges when dealing with intractable conditional distributions. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a common method for sampling from these distributions, but its slow convergence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-22 Sifan Liu

We introduce multilevel Picard (MLP) approximations for McKean--Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with nonconstant diffusion coefficient. Under standard Lipschitz assumptions on the coefficients, we show that the MLP algorithm…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-11-25 Ariel Neufeld , Tuan Anh Nguyen , Philipp Schmocker

Let $\mathscr{P}(E)$ be the space of probability measures on a measurable space $(E,\mathcal{E})$. In this paper we introduce a class of nonlinear Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for simulating from a probability measure…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-07-18 Christophe Andrieu , Ajay Jasra , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre Del Moral

We develop a pure Monte Carlo method to compute $E(g(X_T))$ where $g$ is a bounded and Lipschitz function and $X_t$ an Ito process. This approach extends a previously proposed method to the general multidimensional case with a SDE with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-18 Mahamadou Doumbia , Nadia Oudjane , Xavier Warin

A key limitation of sampling algorithms for approximate inference is that it is difficult to quantify their approximation error. Widely used sampling schemes, such as sequential importance sampling with resampling and Metropolis-Hastings,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-05-09 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka