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In Bayesian inference, we seek to compute information about random variables such as moments or quantiles on the basis of {available data} and prior information. When the distribution of random variables is {intractable}, Monte Carlo (MC)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-06 Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Brian M. Sadler , Victor Elvira

The inverse problem for a disordered system involves determining the interparticle interaction parameters consistent with a given set of experimental data. Recently, Rutledge has shown (Phys. Rev. E63, 021111 (2001)) that such problems can…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 N. B. Wilding

In this paper, we propose and analyze a novel combination of multilevel Richardson-Romberg (ML2R) and importance sampling algorithm, with the aim of reducing the overall computational time, while achieving desired root-mean-squared error…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-05 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Sequential Monte Carlo techniques are useful for state estimation in non-linear, non-Gaussian dynamic models. These methods allow us to approximate the joint posterior distribution using sequential importance sampling. In this framework,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-07-09 Mike Klaas , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

A nonparametric model using a sequence of Bernstein polynomials is constructed to approximate arbitrary isotropic covariance functions valid in $\mathbb{R}^\infty$ and related approximation properties are investigated using the popular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Yiming Wang , Sujit K. Ghosh

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

A family of explicit modified Euler methods (MEMs) is constructed for long-time approximations of super-linear SODEs driven by multiplicative noise. The proposed schemes can preserve the same Lyapunov structure as the continuous problems.…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-11 Zhihui Liu , Xiaojie Wang , Xiaoming Wu , Xiaoyan Zhang

Particle Marginal Metropolis-Hastings (PMMH) is a general approach to Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable, but can be estimated unbiasedly. Our article develops an efficient PMMH method that scales up better to higher…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-05-10 David Gunawan , Pratiti Chatterjee , Robert Kohn

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a popular variant of the Metropolis--Hastings scheme which allows us to sample asymptotically from a target probability density $\pi$, when we are only able to estimate an unnormalized version of $\pi$…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-20 George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

Ensemble Kalman methods solve problems in domains such as filtering and inverse problems with interacting particles that evolve over time. For computationally expensive problems, the cost of attaining a high accuracy quickly becomes…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-02-18 Arne Bouillon , Toon Ingelaere , Giovanni Samaey

A new particle-based sampling and approximate inference method, based on electrostatics and Newton mechanics principles, is introduced with theoretical ground, algorithm design and experimental validation. This method simulates an…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-01 Yongchao Huang

We investigate solution methods for large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) via Bayesian inference. The Bayesian framework provides a statistical setting to infer uncertain parameters from noisy…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Mina Karimi , Mehrdad Massoudi , Kaushik Dayal , Matteo Pozzi

The posterior Cram\'er-Rao lower bound (PCRLB) derived in Tichavsk\'y et al., 1998, provides a bound on the mean square error (MSE) obtained with any non-linear state filter. Computing the PCRLB involves solving complex, multi-dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-07-15 Aditya Tulsyan , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

We prove optimal convergence results of a stochastic particle method for computing the classical solution of a multivariate McKean-Vlasov equation, when the measure variable is in the drift, following the classical approach of [BT97,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-05 Marc Hoffmann , Yating Liu

The Linear Ballistic Accumulator (Brown & Heathcote, 2008) model is used as a measurement tool to answer questions about applied psychology. The analyses based on this model depend upon the model selected and its estimated parameters.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-03 David Gunawan , Guy E. Hawkins , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn , Scott Brown

In this paper, we present a generic methodology for the efficient numerical approximation of the density function of the McKean-Vlasov SDEs. The weak error analysis for the projected process motivates us to combine the iterative Multilevel…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-27 Denis Belomestny , Lukasz Szpruch , Shuren Tan

In scenarios with limited available data, training the function-to-function neural PDE solver in an unsupervised manner is essential. However, the efficiency and accuracy of existing methods are constrained by the properties of numerical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Rui Zhang , Qi Meng , Rongchan Zhu , Yue Wang , Wenlei Shi , Shihua Zhang , Zhi-Ming Ma , Tie-Yan Liu

Variational Bayes (VB) is a popular tool for Bayesian inference in statistical modeling. Recently, some VB algorithms are proposed to handle intractable likelihoods with applications such as approximate Bayesian computation. In this paper,…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-09-28 Zhijian He , Zhenghang Xu , Xiaoqun Wang

We study the approximation of expectations $\operatorname{E}(f(X))$ for solutions $X$ of stochastic differential equations and functionals $f$ on the path space by means of Monte Carlo algorithms that only use random bits instead of random…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Mario Hefter , Lukas Mayer , Klaus Ritter

We propose an unbiased Monte-Carlo estimator for $\mathbb{E}[g(X_{t_1}, \cdots, X_{t_n})]$, where $X$ is a diffusion process defined by a multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation (SDE). The main idea is to start instead from a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-08 Pierre Henry-Labordere , Xiaolu Tan , Nizar Touzi
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