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We consider a system of $N$ interacting particles, governed by transport and diffusion, that converges in a mean-field limit to the solution of a McKean-Vlasov equation. From the observation of a trajectory of the system over a fixed time…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-16 Laetitia Della Maestra , Marc Hoffmann

We study empirical Bayes estimation in high-dimensional linear regression. To facilitate computationally efficient estimation of the underlying prior, we adopt a variational empirical Bayes approach, introduced originally in Carbonetto and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-27 Sumit Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen , Subhabrata Sen

This work combines multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) with importance sampling to estimate rare-event quantities that can be expressed as the expectation of a Lipschitz observable of the solution to a broad class of McKean--Vlasov stochastic…

We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for $n$ observations is estimated from a random subset of $m$ observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-31 Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Mattias Villani , Minh-Ngoc Tran

The following electromagnetism (EM) inverse problem is addressed. It consists in estimating local radioelectric properties of materials recovering an object from global EM scattering measurements, at various incidences and wave frequencies.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-06-12 François Giraud , Pierre Minvielle , Pierre Del Moral

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

We propose a multi-index algorithm for the Monte Carlo (MC) discretization of a linear, elliptic PDE with affine-parametric input. We prove an error vs. work analysis which allows a multi-level finite-element approximation in the physical…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-07-18 Josef Dick , Michael Feischl , Christoph Schwab

We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

The Riccati-type nonlinear differential equation, also known as the Variable Phase Approach or Phase Function Method, is used to construct local inverse potentials for the \( ^3S_1 \) and \( ^1S_0 \) states of the deuteron. The Morse…

核理论 · 物理学 2024-07-08 Anil Khachi , Gabor Balassa

We study the Electrical Impedance Tomography Bayesian inverse problem for recovering the conductivity given noisy measurements of the voltage on some boundary surface electrodes. The uncertain conductivity depends linearly on a countable…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-06-16 Quang Huy Pham , Viet Ha Hoang

We present novel Monte Carlo (MC) and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods to determine the unbiased covariance of random variables using h-statistics. The advantage of this procedure lies in the unbiased construction of the estimator's…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-09 Sharana Kumar Shivanand

The random batch method (RBM) proposed in [Jin et al., J. Comput. Phys., 400(2020), 108877] for large interacting particle systems is an efficient with linear complexity in particle numbers and highly scalable algorithm for $N$-particle…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-03-14 Zhenyu Huang , Shi Jin , Lei Li

A formal mean square error expansion (MSE) is derived for Euler--Maruyama numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDE). The error expansion is used to construct a pathwise a posteriori adaptive time stepping…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-07-16 Håkon Hoel , Juho Häppölä , Raúl Tempone

We propose a micro-macro parallel-in-time Parareal method for scalar McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs). In the algorithm, the fine Parareal propagator is a Monte Carlo simulation of an ensemble of particles, while an…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-10-31 Ignace Bossuyt , Stefan Vandewalle , Giovanni Samaey

By formulating the inverse problem of partial differential equations (PDEs) as a statistical inference problem, the Bayesian approach provides a general framework for quantifying uncertainties. In the inverse problem of PDEs, parameters are…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-10 Haoyu Lu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng

We consider nonparametric statistical inference on a periodic interaction potential $W$ from noisy discrete space-time measurements of solutions $\rho=\rho_W$ of the nonlinear McKean-Vlasov equation, describing the probability density of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-15 Richard Nickl , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Kolyan Ray

By facilitating the generation of samples from arbitrary probability distributions, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is, arguably, \emph{the} tool for the evaluation of Bayesian inference problems that yield non-standard posterior…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-27 Peter L Green , Robert E Moore , Ryan J Jackson , Jinglai Li , Simon Maskell

SMC$^2$ is an efficient algorithm for sequential estimation and state inference of state-space models. It generates $N_{\theta}$ parameter particles $\theta^{m}$, and, for each $\theta^{m}$, it runs a particle filter of size $N_{x}$ (i.e.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-02 Nicolas Chopin , James Ridgway , Mathieu Gerber , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

We investigate the problem of computing a nested expectation of the form $\mathbb{P}[\mathbb{E}[X|Y] \!\geq\!0]\!=\!\mathbb{E}[\textrm{H}(\mathbb{E}[X|Y])]$ where $\textrm{H}$ is the Heaviside function. This nested expectation appears, for…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-02-15 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali