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This paper discusses a methodology for determining a functional representation of a random process from a collection of scattered pointwise samples. The present work specifically focuses onto random quantities lying in a high dimensional…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-01-03 Lionel Mathelin

In modern process industries, data-driven models are important tools for real-time monitoring when key performance indicators are difficult to measure directly. While accurate predictions are essential, reliable uncertainty quantification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Yiran Ma , Jerome Le Ny , Zhichao Chen , Zhihuan Song

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a crucial but challenging task in many high-dimensional regression or learning problems to increase the confidence of a given predictor. We develop a new data-driven approach for UQ in regression that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-19 Frederik Hoppe , Claudio Mayrink Verdun , Hannah Laus , Felix Krahmer , Holger Rauhut

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) integration over unbounded domains $\mathbb{R}^s$ remains challenging due to the high dimensionality of sampling space and the boundary growth of the integrand. In applications such as uncertainty quantification…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-03 Zexin Pan , Du Ouyang , Zhijian He

Consistency-based methods have emerged as an effective approach to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in large language models. These methods typically rely on several generations obtained via multinomial sampling, measuring their agreement…

The noisy matrix completion problem, which aims to recover a low-rank matrix $\mathbf{X}$ from a partial, noisy observation of its entries, arises in many statistical, machine learning, and engineering applications. In this paper, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-15 Simon Mak , Henry Shaowu Yushi , Yao Xie

In this work, we discuss the problem of approximating a multivariate function via $\ell_1$ minimization method, using a random chosen sub-grid of the corresponding tensor grid of Gaussian points. The independent variables of the function…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-07-14 Ling Guo , Akil Narayan , Tao Zhou , Yuhang Chen

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

We provide a framework for the numerical approximation of distributed optimal control problems, based on least-squares finite element methods. Our proposed method simultaneously solves the state and adjoint equations and is $\inf$--$\sup$…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-08-03 Thomas Führer , Michael Karkulik

A probabilistic performance-oriented controller design approach based on polynomial chaos expansion and optimization is proposed for flight dynamic systems. Unlike robust control techniques where uncertainties are conservatively handled,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Xiang Fang , Florian Holzapfel

Coupled problems with various combinations of multiple physics, scales, and domains can be found in numerous areas of science and engineering. A key challenge in the formulation and implementation of corresponding coupled models is to…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2012-07-05 Maarten Arnst , Roger Ghanem , Eric Phipps , John Red-Horse

In recent years, large language models (LLMs) have become increasingly prevalent, offering remarkable text generation capabilities. However, a pressing challenge is their tendency to make confidently wrong predictions, highlighting the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Xiang Gao , Jiaxin Zhang , Lalla Mouatadid , Kamalika Das

The stochastic linear--quadratic regulator problem subject to Gaussian disturbances is well known and usually addressed via a moment-based reformulation. Here, we leverage polynomial chaos expansions, which model random variables via series…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-14 Ruchuan Ou , Jonas Schießl , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Lars Grüne , Timm Faulwasser

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) allow us to propagate uncertainties in the coefficients of differential equations to the statistics of their solutions. Their main advantage is that they replace stochastic equations by systems of…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-04-25 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

We demonstrate a data-driven method to solve for the invariant probability density function of a randomly perturbed dynamical system. The key idea is to replace the boundary condition of numerical schemes by a least squares problem…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-03-27 Yao Li

A gradient-based method is proposed for solving the linear quadratic regulator (LQR) problem for linear systems with nonlinear dependence on time-invariant probabilistic parametric uncertainties. The approach explicitly accounts for model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-30 Leilei Cui , Richard D. Braatz

We consider the problem of providing optimal uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- and hence rigorous certification --- for partially-observed functions. We present a UQ framework within which the observations may be small or large in number,…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-20 T. J. Sullivan , M. McKerns , D. Meyer , F. Theil , H. Owhadi , M. Ortiz

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard

Accurate and efficient uncertainty quantification is essential for resilience assessment of modern power systems under high impact and low probability disturbances. Data driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion (DDSPCE) provides a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-26 Mahsa Ebadat-Parast , Xiaozhe Wang