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Threshold theorem is probably the most important development of mathematical epidemic modelling. Unfortunately, some models may not behave according to the threshold. In this paper, we will focus on the final outcome of SIR model with…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-03-06 Kurnia Susvitasari

We study the SIR model of epidemics on positively correlated heterogeneous networks with population variability, and explore the dependence of the final outbreak size on the network heterogeneity strength and basic reproduction number $R_0$…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-06-16 Alexander Leibenzon , Michael Assaf

In this paper, we introduce a modified epidemic model on regular and scale-free networks respectively. We consider the birth rate $\delta$, cure rate $\gamma$, infection rate $\lambda$, $\alpha$ from the infectious disease, and death rate…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-02-14 Jingzhou Liu

In this paper we present a model describing Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) type epidemics spreading on a dynamic contact network with random link activation and deletion where link ac- tivation can be locally constrained. We use and…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-05-30 Michael Taylor , Timothy J. Taylor , Istvan Z. Kiss

This paper studies the dynamics of a network-based SIRS epidemic model with vaccination and a nonmonotone incidence rate. This type of nonlinear incidence can be used to describe the psychological or inhibitory effect from the behavioral…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-11-14 Lijun Liu , Xiaodan Wei , Naimin Zhang

We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-03-13 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Keito Yamasaki

We propose a compartmental model for vector-transmitted diseases, such as Malaria and Dengue, spreading over complex networks. Individuals are represented by independent random walkers and vectors by infected nodes. Both walkers and nodes…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-05-05 Téo Granger , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Bernard A. Collet , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos

We present an analysis of six deterministic models for epidemic spreading. The evolution of the number of individuals of each class is given by ordinary differential equations of the first order in time, which are set up by using the laws…

生物物理 · 物理学 2020-12-25 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

We introduce a general system of ordinary differential equations that includes some classical and recent models for the epidemic spread in a closed population without vital dynamic in a finite time horizon. The model is vectorial, in the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-21 Lorenzo Freddi

The theory of backward bifurcations provides a criterion for the existence of positive steady states in epidemiological models with parameters where the basic reproductive ratio is less than one. It is often seen in simulations that this…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-10-22 Alexis Nangue , Alan D. Rendall

This paper is devoted to the study of the asymptotic behavior of the principal eigenvalue and basic reproduction ratio associated with periodic population models in a patchy environment for small and large dispersal rates. We first deal…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2021-08-04 Lei Zhang , Xiao-Qiang Zhao

A model for epidemic spreading on rewiring networks is introduced and analyzed for the case of scale free steady state networks. It is found that contrary to what one would have naively expected, the rewiring process typically tends to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Yonathan Schwarzkopf , Attila Rakos , David Mukamel

Reproduction numbers, like the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$, play an important role in the analysis and application of dynamic models, including contagion models and ecological population models. One difficulty in deriving…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-05-25 Paul J. Hurtado , Cameron Richards

In this paper, we further investigate the global dynamics of a stochastic differential equation SIS (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) epidemic model recently proposed in [A. Gray et al., SIAM. J. Appl. Math., 71 (2011), 876-902]. We…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-08-24 Chuang Xu

The spread of an epidemic process is considered in the context of a spatial SIR stochastic model that includes a parameter $0\le p\le 1$ that assigns weights $p$ and $1- p$ to global and local infective contacts respectively. The model was…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-01-29 Gabriel Fabricius , Alberto Maltz

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

We develop a multi-patch and multi-group model that captures the dynamics of an infectious disease when the host is structured into an arbitrary number of groups and interacts into an arbitrary number of patches where the infection takes…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-11-23 Derdei Bichara , Abderrahman Iggidr

The dynamics of an SIS epidemic patch model with asymmetric connectivity matrix is analyzed. It is shown that the basic reproduction number $R_0$ is strictly decreasing with respect to the dispersal rate of the infected individuals, and the…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-11-07 Shanshan Chen , Junping Shi , Zhisheng Shuai , Yixiang Wu

Physiological stress fundamentally alters disease susceptibility in aquatic environments. In this paper, we develop a stress-structured epidemiological model where host vulnerability is dynamically driven by water quality. Analytically, we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-02-10 Clotilde Djuikem , Julien Arino

We show that the basic reproduction number of an SIS patch model with standard incidence is either strictly decreasing and strictly convex with respect to the diffusion coefficient of infected subpopulation if the patch reproduction numbers…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-01-03 Daozhou Gao , Chao-Ping Dong
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