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This paper studies the tail probability of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^n c_i X_i$, where random variables $X_i$'s are either independent or pairwise quasi-asymptotical independent with heavy tails. Using $h$-insensitive function,…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-01 Chenhua Zhang

The paper focuses on a class of light-tailed multivariate probability distributions. These are obtained via a transformation of the margins from a heavy-tailed original distribution. This class was introduced in Balkema et al. (J.…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Guus Balkema , Paul Embrechts , Natalia Nolde

Consider a probability distribution subordinate to a subexponential distribution with finite mean. In this paper, we discuss the second order tail behavior of the subordinated distribution within a rather general framework in which we do…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-17 Jianxi Lin

We consider a two dimensional skip-free reflecting random walk on a nonnegative integer quadrant. We are interested in the tail asymptotics of its stationary distribution, provided its existence is assumed. We derive exact tail asymptotics…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-17 Masahiro Kobayashi , Masakiyo Miyazawa

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

数学物理 · 物理学 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

We study the one-dimensional branching random walk in the case when the step size distribution has a stretched exponential tail, and, in particular, no finite exponential moments. The tail of the step size $X$ decays as $\mathbb{P}[X \geq…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-12 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Thomas Höfelsauer

In this paper, we consider the $(1,R)$ state-dependent reflecting random walk (RW) on the half line, allowing the size of jumps to the right at maximal $R$ and to the left only 1. We provide an explicit criterion for positive recurrence and…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-27 Wenming Hong , Ke Zhou

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

In probability theory, there exist discrete and continuous distributions. Generally speaking, we do not have sufficient kinds and properties of discrete ones compared to the continuous ones. In this paper, we treat the Riemann zeta…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-05 Takahiro Aoyama , Ryuya Namba , Koki Ota

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of the product of two dependent Weibull-type risks, which is of interest in various statistical and applied probability problems. Our results extend some recent findings of Schlueter and Fischer…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-12 E. Hashorva , Z. Weng

The class of dispersion models introduced by J{\o}rgensen (1997b) covers many known distributions such as the normal, Student t, gamma, inverse Gaussian, hyperbola, von-Mises, among others. We study the small dispersion asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-09-11 Alexandre B. Simas , Gauss M. Cordeiro , Saralees Nadarajah

There is accumulating evidence in the literature that stability of learning algorithms is a key characteristic that permits a learning algorithm to generalize. Despite various insightful results in this direction, there seems to be an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-10 Karim Abou-Moustafa , Csaba Szepesvari

As well known, for a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$, the ratio $W_n:=Z_n/m^n$ has a.s. limit, say $W$. We study tail behaviour of the distributions of $W_n$ and $W$ in the case where…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-12 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

Risk measures such as Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) focus on extreme losses, where scarce tail data makes model error unavoidable. To hedge misspecification, one evaluates worst-case tail risk over an ambiguity set. Using Extreme Value…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-22 Anand Deo

Let (X,Y) be a bivariate elliptical random vector with associated random radius in the Gumbel max-domain of attraction. In this paper we obtain a second order asymptotic expansion of the joint survival probability P(X > x, Y> y) for x,y…

概率论 · 数学 2008-05-15 Enkelejd Hashorva

We consider a discrete-time two-dimensional quasi-birth-and-death process (2d-QBD process for short) $\{(\boldsymbol{X}_n,J_n)\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2\times S_0$, where $\boldsymbol{X}_n=(X_{1,n},X_{2,n})$ is the level state, $J_n$ the phase…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-23 Toshihisa Ozawa

We study the empirical version of halfspace depths with the objective of establishing a connection between the rates of convergence and the tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-03 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani